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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.0% 95.0% -
Bradley-Terry 5.3% 94.7% -
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +27.7 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +51 (86-35). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Broomfield 0 2-6 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 0 4 6 4 -
K. Gross 0 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 4 8 4 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 3-13 0-2 3-4 8 0 0 1 3 9 2 -
S. White 0 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Shegog 0 2-12 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 1 4 4 -5 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayes 0 5-9 0-1 3-3 7 2 1 1 1 13 14 -
S. Dolson 0 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 3 2 4 10 11 -
K. Faris 0 3-5 1-2 1-2 7 5 2 0 3 8 14 -
C. Doty 0 4-6 1-2 1-1 3 4 4 0 1 10 14 -
B. Hartley 0 7-14 3-7 0-1 3 8 3 0 3 17 14 -

* = starter