Presbyterian Blue Hose vs North Carolina Tar Heels

2011-11-22

Model	Presbyterian Blue Hose	North Carolina Tar Heels	Spread	Result
ELO	1.1%	98.9%	-	✓
Bradley-Terry	5.6%	94.4%	-	✓
Margin	0.2%	99.8%	+35.7	✓ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean	13.3%	86.7%	-	✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +23 (61-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Player	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PTS	Numbers
S. Smith	1-7	-1	-	4	2	1		2	2	0
M. Pietrowski	1-5	-	2-2	4	1	1		1	4	4
D. Fothergill	2-8	-2	-	2	2	1		3	4	-2
D. David	4-11	-1	2-2	3		4	1	8	10	-1
K. Stevens	4-6	3-5	-	4		1			11	10

Player	MIN	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PTS	Numbers
L. Broomfield	0	5-12	-	-4	9	2	1	2	3	10	9
S. White	0	4-12	2-7	-	5				2	10	1
B. Rountree	0	1-4	1-3	2-2	4	3	2		3	5	7
C. Shegog	0	8-12	-	7-12	10	3	5	1	1	23	29
K. Gross	0	1-7	-2	-	6	2	2	4	3	2	6
Player #51383 *	29	1-2	1-1	2-2	4	15		1	4	5	19
Player #41465 *	27	6-9	-	-	7		2	1		12	13
Player #51385 *	26	6-13	1-2	3-3	2	2	1		1	16	7
Player #45533 *	25	3-3	-	-3	1	1	3		3	6	5
Player #45531 *	25	8-11	-	-	10	6		4	1	16	24
Player #51384	18	8-10	6-7	1-2	4	2	1			23	20
Player #56965	13	2-8	2-6	2-2	3	3				8	6
Player #56967	12	3-4	-	1-2	4		1		1	7	7
Player #41464	7	1-1	-	-	1					2	2
Player #56964	5	1-1	-	-	4	1	1			2	7
Player #56963	4	-	-	-2		1					1
Player #53826	4	-2	-1	-		1			1		-2
Player #56966	3	1-1	-	-						2	1
Player #53828	1	-	-	-							0
Player #53825	1	1-1	1-1	-	1					3	3

* = starter