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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.3 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +38 (100-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. White 0 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 8 4 0 2 9 14 -
B. Rountree 0 5-8 1-2 4-4 3 1 3 0 2 15 12 -
C. Wood 0 3-11 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 8 0 -
K. Gross 0 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 3 1 8 14 -
C. Shegog 0 5-11 0-0 1-3 12 2 1 2 2 11 15 -
D. Strickland * 25 4-9 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 1 2 10 5 -
T. Zeller * 22 6-12 0-0 7-8 13 0 1 1 2 19 20 -
K. Marshall * 22 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 8 3 0 1 8 18 -
H. Barnes * 20 7-12 1-2 3-3 5 5 1 1 0 18 18 -
J. Henson * 16 8-15 0-0 0-1 11 0 2 2 0 16 16 -
R. Bullock Jr. 19 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
P.J. Hairston 19 2-11 1-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 5 -2 -
J. McAdoo 17 3-8 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
D. Hubert 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Watts 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 5 9 -
S. White 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Simmons 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
D. Dupont 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
P. Crouch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter