Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wood | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| B. Rountree | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| K. Gross | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin | 0 | 9-25 | 2-11 | 9-9 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 15 | - |
| L. Gerson | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Moorer | 0 | 5-20 | 0-5 | 5-9 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
* = starter