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NC State Wolfpack

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State Wolfpack
Program History
Coach: Kevin Keatts

2022 Team Stats (1 games)

65.0
PPG
75.3
Opp
-2.5
Margin
40.0%
FG%
19.0%
3P%
58.6%
FT%
41.0
RPG
14.0
APG
9.0
TO
76.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1307 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1374 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 879 (#625) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +34.6 (#49) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +14.9 (#133) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.277 (#97) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.2 More → 0.819 (#32) NetEff +11.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.418 (#75) AdjNet -2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.419 (#75) AdjNet -2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.487 (#278) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.690 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.641 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 29 More → 937 (#312) RD 140 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Bucknell Bison W 88 - 70
2021-11-16 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 79 - 65
2021-11-17 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 68 - 74
2021-11-21 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 65 - 57
2021-11-27 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 90 - 81
2021-12-01 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 104 - 100
2021-12-04 vs Louisville Cardinals L 68 - 73
2021-12-09 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 65 - 48
2021-12-12 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 72 - 82
2021-12-17 vs Richmond Spiders L 74 - 83
2021-12-21 vs Wright State Raiders L 70 - 84
2022-01-01 vs Florida State Seminoles L 81 - 83
2022-01-04 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 68 - 63
2022-01-12 @ Louisville Cardinals W 79 - 63
2022-01-15 @ Duke Blue Devils L 73 - 88
2022-01-19 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 59 - 62
2022-01-22 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 77 - 63
2022-01-26 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 65 - 73
2022-01-29 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 80 - 100
2022-02-02 vs Syracuse Orange L 82 - 89
2022-02-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 57 - 69
2022-02-09 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 51 - 69
2022-02-12 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 69 - 71
2022-02-15 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 76 - 61
2022-02-23 vs Boston College Eagles L 61 - 69
2022-02-26 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 84
2022-03-02 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 76 - 101
2022-03-05 @ Florida State Seminoles L 76 - 89
2022-03-08 @ Clemson Tigers L 64 - 70

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terquavion Smith Terquavion Smith - 29 32.4 17.0 4.2 2.2 1.3 0.5 1.6 1.4 22.1 -43 -1.4 -2.3 29.3 13.6 75.0 0.84 552.6 32.9
Dereon Seabron Dereon Seabron - 9 35.6 15.4 8.4 3.6 1.3 0.2 2.8 5.3 20.9 - - - 41.7 16.7 68.2 0.12 120.5 42.7
J. Hellems J. Hellems F 9 37.3 14.7 5.1 0.9 1.2 0.7 1.8 3.0 17.8 -45 -1.4 -1.7 25.9 38.5 84.6 0.44 201.7 35.2
C. Morsell C. Morsell - 27 24.6 6.7 3.7 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 10.8 - - - 28.6 18.2 50.0 0.64 382.8 33.3
C. Hayes C. Hayes G 17 19.5 6.7 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 1.4 0.8 9.6 -59 -1.8 -3.5 53.8 0.0 33.3 -0.04 398.0 53.8
D. Styles D. Styles G 1 6.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 -82 -2.7 -17.2 0 0 0 -0.7 0 0
J. Manns J. Manns F 1 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 21 1.9 15.6 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
E. Dowuona E. Dowuona F 16 23.0 3.4 4.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.6 1.2 7.4 69 2.7 7.8 42.1 0 25.0 1.22 130.1 42.1
J. Gibson J. Gibson F 16 14.8 3.2 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 6.1 -110 -3.8 -10.3 100.0 0 0.0 1.21 308.1 100.0
T. Allen T. Allen G 13 13.8 2.8 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.7 4.8 -44 -1.7 -4.6 33.3 20.0 0.0 2.63 182.2 38.9
Breon Pass Breon Pass G 22 9.0 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.3 3.8 6 0.2 1.1 57.1 33.3 100.0 0.39 323.6 64.3
E. Ross E. Ross F 12 7.0 1.5 1.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 3.6 -11 -0.8 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
R. McAdoo R. McAdoo G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Graham C. Graham - 6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Nunnally A. Nunnally - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG