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2022-01-29

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hellems * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 25 32 -
T. Smith * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 1 2 34 41 -
D. Seabron * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
C. Morsell * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
E. Dowuona * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 7 -
C. Hayes 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
T. Allen 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 7 10 -
J. Gibson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
B. Pass 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Styles 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
A. Nunnally 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. McAdoo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Black * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 3 5 11 -
RJ Davis * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 17 24 -
A. Bacot * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 6 1 18 37 -
D. Farris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Landry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Lebo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Watkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter