Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (100-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hellems * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 32 | - |
| T. Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 41 | - |
| D. Seabron * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| E. Dowuona * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Hayes | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Allen | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Gibson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Pass | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Styles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Nunnally | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McAdoo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Black * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 37 | - |
| D. Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Landry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lebo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Watkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter