Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 49 | - |
| B. Manek * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| L. Black * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| D. Styles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Dunn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| E. Dowuona * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Hayes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| B. Pass | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Gibson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter