Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| F. Caffaro * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T. Murray | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hellems * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| D. Seabron * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| E. Dowuona * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Gibson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Pass | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Hayes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Allen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Nunnally | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Graham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter