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Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Also known as: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

58.0
PPG
73.9
Opp
-10.9
Margin
36.4%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
43.2%
FT%
30.3
RPG
10.0
APG
13.7
TO
82.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 589 (#1116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 766 (#1093) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 890 (#562) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +1.1 (#531) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -5.8 (#400) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -31.7 More → 0.020 (#287) NetEff -31.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.341 (#561) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.250 (#478) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.253 (#509) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 181 | GP 28 More → 708 (#586) RD 181 | GP 28

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 57 - 93
2012-11-13 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 60 - 102
2012-11-15 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 68 - 81
2012-11-24 @ LSU Tigers L 50 - 75
2012-12-08 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 39 - 67
2012-12-10 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 49 - 70
2012-12-19 @ Bradley Braves L 42 - 77
2012-12-22 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 52 - 63
2012-12-23 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 64 - 69
2012-12-30 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 64 - 67
2013-01-02 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 64 - 79
2013-01-06 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 79 - 68
2013-01-08 vs Alabama State Hornets L 65 - 69
2013-01-12 @ Alcorn State Braves L 67 - 72
2013-01-14 @ Southern Jaguars L 54 - 88
2013-01-19 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 73 - 64
2013-01-21 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 48 - 75
2013-01-26 @ Jackson State Tigers L 57 - 60
2013-01-28 @ Grambling Tigers W 65 - 50
2013-02-02 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 64 - 65
2013-02-04 @ Alabama State Hornets L 65 - 73
2013-02-09 vs Alcorn State Braves W 80 - 75
2013-02-11 vs Southern Jaguars L 74 - 78
2013-02-16 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 77 - 80
2013-02-18 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 57 - 73
2013-02-23 vs Jackson State Tigers L 71 - 90
2013-02-25 vs Grambling Tigers W 90 - 68
2013-02-28 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 70 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Usher D. Usher G 28 32.7 18.8 6.1 1.4 1.6 0.4 2.2 5.2 20.8 -130 -4.6 -7.1 39.5 35.8 68.3 -0.47 151.7 45.9
M. Smith M. Smith F 28 29.0 10.2 6.4 0.4 1.2 1.4 1.6 3.2 14.8 58 1.8 2.6 51.7 0.0 45.5 0.17 126.3 51.7
D. Marshall D. Marshall G 28 27.0 7.9 2.2 2.8 0.9 0.0 2.2 3.0 8.5 -21 -0.6 -0.8 35.3 32.7 74.3 0.02 109.6 44.7
D. Tomlin D. Tomlin G 24 17.4 5.5 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.0 2.4 2.3 4.8 -123 -5.1 -12.5 33.9 0.0 61.5 -0.72 97.9 33.9
J. Francis J. Francis C 27 16.6 4.0 2.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.9 2.7 3.1 -137 -5.1 -14.6 37.8 20.0 62.5 -1.05 64.5 38.5
C. Dobbs C. Dobbs G 28 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.2 -83 -3.1 -8.4 20.4 14.3 50.0 -0.24 101.3 25.0
E. Thomas E. Thomas F 22 19.5 4.0 5.2 1.1 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.6 8.6 -76 -3.5 -6.5 30.6 27.3 57.1 -0.48 113.9 34.7
B. Ralling B. Ralling F 28 19.8 3.8 3.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.8 5.8 -113 -4.0 -9.1 35.3 41.4 85.7 -0.67 91.8 47.1
C. Samples C. Samples G 21 9.1 3.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.1 2.5 -53 -2.5 -9.2 20.8 33.3 33.3 -0.65 123.4 22.9
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 17 14.4 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.0 3.5 89 2.5 5.1 29.4 25.0 100.0 0.01 134.2 38.2
C. Henry C. Henry G 26 13.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.2 2.0 -69 -2.8 -6.6 28.1 14.3 100.0 -0.26 82.9 29.7
N. Brandt N. Brandt F 4 20.0 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.2 0.0 - - - 15.4 14.3 0 -0.38 26.9 19.2
M. Holley M. Holley C 9 9.9 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 -74 -9.2 -22.7 33.3 0 14.3 -0.57 27.5 33.3
A. Framery A. Framery G 4 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG