Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | +16.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +24.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +13 (81-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Usher * | 39 | 12-18 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 25 | +8.6 |
| Darryl Marshall * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Matt Smith * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Julius Francis * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Nate Brandt * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Darius Tomlin | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +18.7 |
| Montreal Holley | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Cameron Dobbs | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Blake Ralling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Cordarius Samples | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Hearn * | 38 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | -6.1 |
| Jared Swopshire * | 37 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 15 | -5.5 |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | -3.2 |
| Alex Olah * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Drew Crawford * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Alex Marcotullio | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Mike Turner | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Tre Demps | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Kale Abrahamson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter