Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +8 (73-65). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ervin Thomas | 40 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Darius Tomlin | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Cordarius Samples | 23 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Darryl Marshall | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Matt Smith | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cortland Henry | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Davon Usher | 16 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Julius Francis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Blake Ralling | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Dobbs | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 31 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 32 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Luther Page | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Joshua Freelove | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter