Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs +1 (65-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davon Usher * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Darryl Marshall * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ervin Thomas * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Blake Ralling * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Darius Tomlin | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Dobbs | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cordarius Samples | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cortland Henry | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Julius Francis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Arthur Framery | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ellis * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Davis * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justan Banks * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nicholas West * | 10 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Green Hill | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Crutcher | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jose Long | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Justin Wagner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Lanier | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter