Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -27 (48-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Strong | 38 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ray Penn | 34 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 17 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Blackwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Billy Rosenberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Smith | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Davon Usher | 32 | 2-14 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Darryl Marshall | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Blake Ralling | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Julius Francis | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Cameron Dobbs | 14 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Cordarius Samples | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ervin Thomas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cortland Henry | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter