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Mississippi State

Also known as: Mississippi State Bulldogs, Mississippi State
Program History

2023 Team Stats (24 games)

65.1
PPG
63.7
Opp
+1.7
Margin
42.3%
FG%
24.7%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
35.7
RPG
13.8
APG
13.2
TO
77.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1343 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1409 (#31) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +37.9 (#32) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.444 (#67) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.5 More → 0.485 (#185) NetEff -0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More → 0.537 (#60) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.2 More → 0.536 (#60) AdjNet +1.2

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-11 @ Akron Zips W 73 - 54
2022-12-03 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 82 - 52
2022-12-11 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 69 - 51
2022-12-14 @ Jackson State Tigers W 69 - 59
2022-12-17 vs Nicholls Colonels W 68 - 66
2022-12-28 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 67 - 78
2023-01-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 53 - 87
2023-01-07 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 64 - 54
2023-01-11 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 50 - 58
2023-01-14 @ Auburn Tigers L 63 - 69
2023-01-17 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 59 - 70
2023-01-21 vs Florida Gators L 59 - 61
2023-01-25 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 63 - 66
2023-01-28 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 81 - 74
2023-01-31 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 66 - 51
2023-02-04 vs Missouri Tigers W 63 - 52
2023-02-08 vs LSU Tigers W 64 - 53
2023-02-21 @ Missouri Tigers L 64 - 66
2023-02-25 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 69 - 62
2023-02-28 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 74 - 68
2023-03-04 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 72 - 77
2023-03-09 @ Florida Gators W 69 - 68
2023-03-10 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 49 - 72
2023-03-14 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 59 - 60

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Smith T. Smith - 24 27.2 16.5 8.0 1.4 0.6 0.6 2.4 9.2 15.5 21 2.3 8.1 55.0 0 60.8 0.63 67.1 55.0
Shakeel Moore Shakeel Moore - 23 27.2 10.7 3.2 2.3 1.5 0.3 1.9 8.7 7.2 - - - 43.3 30.1 82.5 - 56.0 50.2
D.J. Jeffries D.J. Jeffries - 24 31.3 9.5 6.7 1.8 1.3 0.5 1.3 8.6 9.8 - - - 35.0 23.2 58.3 - 49.3 40.5
Dashawn Davis Dashawn Davis - 23 30.3 7.7 2.1 4.0 1.7 0.0 2.0 7.3 6.3 28 2.8 5.1 32.1 26.0 78.8 1.05 46.4 38.1
Cameron Matthews Cameron Matthews F 24 27.8 6.0 5.6 2.2 1.5 0.5 1.7 4.2 9.8 - - - 44.1 6.2 60.9 - 55.3 44.6
T. Stevenson T. Stevenson - 24 10.7 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 3.3 2.6 - - - 48.1 0.0 72.2 - 55.2 48.1
W. McNair Jr. W. McNair Jr. - 24 13.1 3.4 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.8 4.2 110 7.9 15.0 44.8 7.1 59.1 2.08 53.5 45.5
K. Murphy K. Murphy F 13 10.9 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.7 2.4 3.5 26 2.2 2.6 45.2 31.6 66.7 1.05 60.1 54.8
S. Jones Jr. S. Jones Jr. G 17 12.3 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.4 2.6 56 4.7 5.2 40.0 20.0 66.7 1.67 59.1 46.2
K. Hamilton K. Hamilton - 3 4.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.7 -23 -1.9 -2.5 50.0 40.0 50.0 0.9 65.4 66.7
E. Reed Jr. E. Reed Jr. - 24 16.6 2.9 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 3.8 2.2 69 6.9 36.3 25.3 20.3 45.5 1.02 36.5 31.9
J. Horton Jr. J. Horton Jr. - 8 11.4 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.1 1.2 2.1 74 6.2 8.2 40.0 33.3 40.0 1.26 61.5 50.0
M. Russell M. Russell G 6 5.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 -5 -0.4 -0.4 16.7 0.0 0 0.88 58.3 16.7
A. Applewhite A. Applewhite F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -47 -4.3 -5.9 - - - 0.44 - -
J. Rumph J. Rumph - 4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaac Stansbury Isaac Stansbury - 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG