Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Moore * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| T. Smith * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 10-17 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - |
| C. Matthews * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Reed Jr. | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stevenson | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. McNair Jr. | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lofton * | 43 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Kugel * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Jones * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| W. Richard * | 23 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Jitoboh * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Reeves | 26 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| A. Szymczyk | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Fudge | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Lane | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Bonham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter