🐻⬇️🏀

Mississippi State Bulldogs 64
@
Missouri Tigers 66
2023-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 ✗ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - ✓
Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% - ✓

Actual: Missouri Tigers +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Matthews * 39 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 0 3 9 10 -
Player #4397882 * 36 5-8 0-0 4-5 10 0 0 0 1 14 15 -
D. Davis * 36 2-11 0-6 3-3 0 5 2 0 2 7 1 -
D.J. Jeffries * 29 4-8 2-5 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 10 11 -
S. Moore * 22 3-7 2-6 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
E. Reed Jr. 30 3-13 2-7 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
S. Jones Jr. 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 5 4 -
W. McNair Jr. 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 1 6 -
T. Stevenson 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4431752 * 41 6-17 1-4 4-5 6 2 5 0 2 17 11 -
N. Honor * 38 3-6 2-3 2-2 4 5 0 0 2 10 11 -
D. Hodge * 37 5-13 3-9 3-5 4 2 3 3 1 16 14 -
M. Diarra * 17 2-4 0-1 1-4 4 2 0 1 0 5 8 -
T. Gomillion 28 3-5 0-0 2-3 11 2 2 0 2 8 16 -
N. Carter 25 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 10 7 -
S. East II 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Majak 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter