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2023-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 36 4-10 1-2 5-5 4 2 4 0 3 14 11 -
S. Moore * 36 2-10 1-5 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 5 3 -
D.J. Jeffries * 33 4-11 1-6 0-0 7 1 1 2 4 9 5 -
C. Matthews * 32 3-4 0-0 0-2 1 2 2 1 3 6 5 -
T. Smith * 21 6-9 0-0 3-5 7 3 0 1 3 15 14 -
W. McNair Jr. 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 8 9 -
T. Stevenson 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
E. Reed Jr. 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller * 37 5-9 1-4 2-3 6 2 3 1 1 13 15 -
M. Sears * 36 1-7 0-5 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 -
N. Clowney * 33 3-10 0-6 7-8 8 0 0 0 3 13 8 -
C. Bediako * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
J. Bradley * 12 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
J. Quinerly 26 4-9 1-3 5-6 4 4 0 0 1 14 12 -
R. Griffen 13 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
N. Gurley 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 4 -
D. Welch 9 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
N. Pringle 8 2-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
N. Burnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter