Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | -0.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (81-74). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Baugh | 45 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Emanuel Miller | 40 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Shahada Wells | 39 | 5-12 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chuck O'Bannon Jr. | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| JaKobe Coles | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Xavier Cork | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Souleymane Doumbia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Dashawn Davis | 39 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries | 38 | 2-12 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 37 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 35 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will McNair Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Eric Reed Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Martavious Russell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter