Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Miller * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| KJ Williams * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Fountain * | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Ward * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hill | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Hayes | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Reed | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Phillips | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Moore * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 34 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| C. Matthews * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Davis * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Player #4397882 * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| W. McNair Jr. | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Reed Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Stevenson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Stansbury | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Rumph | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter