Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lofton * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Player #4397204 * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Player #4897262 * | 29 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Jones * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Fudge * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Kugel | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Reeves | 18 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Jitoboh | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Bonham | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Matthews * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Player #4397882 * | 21 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. Reed Jr. * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Moore | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| W. McNair Jr. | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Stevenson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Murphy | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter