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Mississippi State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Mississippi State Bulldogs, Mississippi State
Program History
Coach: Ben Howland

2022 Team Stats (10 games)

68.2
PPG
66.4
Opp
+3.6
Margin
41.7%
FG%
24.5%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
39.0
RPG
12.4
APG
13.1
TO
81.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1375 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1405 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1008 (#175) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +35.5 (#40) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +21.8 (#52) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.418 (#74) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.1 More → 0.504 (#125) NetEff +0.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.1 More → 0.588 (#55) AdjNet +3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.2 More → 0.591 (#55) AdjNet +3.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.634 (#87) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 63.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.862 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.829 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 30 More → 1130 (#121) RD 128 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 vs North Alabama Lions W 75 - 49
2021-11-17 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 77 - 64
2021-11-21 vs Morehead State Eagles W 66 - 46
2021-11-25 @ Louisville Cardinals L 58 - 72
2021-11-27 @ Richmond Spiders W 82 - 71
2021-12-02 vs Lamar Cardinals W 75 - 60
2021-12-05 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 76 - 81
2021-12-11 @ Colorado State Rams L 63 - 66
2021-12-14 vs Georgia State Panthers W 79 - 50
2021-12-17 vs Furman Paladins W 69 - 66
2021-12-21 vs Winthrop Eagles W 84 - 63
2022-01-12 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 88 - 72
2022-01-15 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 78 - 76
2022-01-19 @ Florida Gators L 72 - 80
2022-01-22 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 78 - 60
2022-01-25 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 74 - 82
2022-01-29 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 50 - 76
2022-02-01 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 78 - 64
2022-02-05 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 55 - 63
2022-02-09 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 63 - 72
2022-02-12 @ LSU Tigers L 65 - 69
2022-02-16 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 75 - 80
2022-02-18 vs Missouri Tigers W 68 - 49
2022-02-20 @ Missouri Tigers W 58 - 56
2022-02-23 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 56 - 66
2022-02-26 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 74 - 69
2022-03-02 vs Auburn Tigers L 68 - 81
2022-03-05 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 64 - 67
2022-03-10 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 73 - 51
2022-03-11 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 59 - 72

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Hunter A. Hunter G 1 38.0 30.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 31.0 307 9.0 11.5 0 0 0 1.63 0 0
I. Molinar I. Molinar G 13 34.3 17.1 3.5 3.4 1.5 0.3 2.8 11.5 11.4 105 3.1 3.6 42.0 22.2 84.2 1.45 63.4 44.0
T. Smith T. Smith - 19 28.2 13.9 6.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 4.8 15.7 -43 -1.4 -2.3 46.2 0 72.3 0.84 118.2 46.2
G. Brooks G. Brooks C 13 30.5 10.8 5.9 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.9 6.8 10.8 - - - 44.9 24.0 62.1 1.57 69.3 48.3
C. Garrison C. Garrison G 1 35.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 288 8.7 11.3 0 0 0 1.48 0 0
D.J. Jeffries D.J. Jeffries - 30 28.4 8.8 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.6 1.8 3.4 11.4 19 0.6 0.8 46.5 31.6 70.6 0.36 121.7 52.5
Shakeel Moore Shakeel Moore - 30 27.7 8.5 3.1 2.1 1.6 0.3 1.6 3.6 10.4 126 3.7 5.4 33.9 25.0 77.3 1.71 107.9 40.8
Andersson Garcia Andersson Garcia F 11 16.5 4.4 5.6 1.6 1.4 0.5 1.1 3.1 9.3 76 2.3 6.1 50.0 0.0 54.2 1.21 53.9 50.0
J. Davis J. Davis - 16 11.9 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.1 4.9 88 1.5 3.6 44.4 0 77.8 1.12 125.2 44.4
P. Youngblood P. Youngblood F 1 19.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 63 5.2 11.7 0 0 0 0.73 0 0
Cameron Matthews Cameron Matthews F 29 18.3 2.6 3.9 1.2 1.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 7.8 61 1.8 4.0 28.0 0.0 57.1 0.3 120.3 28.0
Cam Carter Cam Carter - 14 8.5 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.2 2.5 62 2.3 10.2 29.4 37.5 66.7 0.63 94.2 38.2
Rocket Watts Rocket Watts - 5 13.4 2.2 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.0 -0.2 -26 -1.4 -4.2 26.7 11.1 100.0 -0.7 34.6 30.0
Derek Fountain Derek Fountain - 16 7.7 1.4 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 3.0 52 2.1 9.3 14.3 0.0 100.0 0.86 131.3 14.3
Isaac Stansbury Isaac Stansbury - 4 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 250.0 150.0
J. Rumph J. Rumph - 4 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 150.0 0.0
K. Murphy K. Murphy F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Applewhite A. Applewhite F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Pugh J. Pugh G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -13 -1.1 -9.0 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
J. Repass J. Repass F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Brumfield T. Brumfield G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG