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2022-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Molinar 34 7-20 1-5 7-8 2 4 3 0 1 22 10 -
G. Brooks 33 2-5 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 4 1 8 12 -
C. Carter 28 4-12 3-6 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 15 8 -
D. Fountain 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Garcia 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D.J. Jeffries * 32 6-15 1-4 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 15 8 -
T. Smith * 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
S. Moore 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Matthews 18 2-6 0-2 0-1 7 1 1 2 0 4 9 -
J. Davis 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Quinerly * 37 8-16 3-8 2-2 2 8 0 2 2 21 15 -
J. Shackelford * 35 5-15 0-6 2-3 8 4 0 0 3 12 6 -
C. Bediako * 27 6-7 0-0 3-7 5 0 0 6 0 15 19 -
K. Ellis * 23 0-8 0-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 -4 -
N. Gurley * 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
D. Miles 21 3-5 2-4 4-4 7 1 3 0 1 12 17 -
JD Davison 18 2-4 0-2 3-3 10 1 1 0 3 7 12 -
J. Rojas 11 2-4 1-1 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
J. Gary 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Holt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter