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2022-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 86.1% 13.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% -
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.D. Johnson 31 4-8 1-3 5-5 2 3 3 0 4 14 10 -
Dev. Cambridge 19 2-7 1-6 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
Z. Jasper * 35 3-6 3-4 2-2 3 3 2 1 1 11 13 -
J. Smith * 35 9-13 3-5 6-7 10 2 0 0 0 27 26 -
W. Kessler * 29 2-4 0-0 0-2 10 1 0 3 0 4 14 -
A. Flanigan * 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -7 -
W. Green Jr. 31 3-12 1-4 1-2 2 7 5 0 4 8 6 -
D. Cardwell 16 3-3 0-0 0-1 1 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
J. Williams 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Molinar * 40 5-19 0-3 4-5 5 3 1 0 5 14 -1 -
T. Smith * 39 9-16 0-0 4-5 12 2 2 2 4 22 20 -
G. Brooks * 36 3-5 0-2 4-6 8 0 1 1 1 10 14 -
D.J. Jeffries * 35 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 0 -
S. Moore * 23 2-8 0-6 2-4 2 4 2 0 3 6 3 -
A. Garcia 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 13 3 2 0 3 8 17 -
C. Matthews 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
D. Fountain 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davis 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Carter 3 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter