Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Molinar | 36 | 13-21 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| G. Brooks | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Watts | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Garcia | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Moore * | 38 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Matthews * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Davis | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Fountain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Grady | 43 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| D. Mintz | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Wheeler | 32 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Ware | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| O. Tshiebwe * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 33 | - |
| K. Brooks Jr. * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Allen | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Toppin | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Hopkins | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter