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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 71.9% 28.1% -5.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ellis * 34 3-10 3-6 5-5 7 3 2 1 1 14 16 -
J. Shackelford * 32 6-16 1-9 4-5 5 1 2 0 1 17 8 -
J. Quinerly * 23 1-5 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 4 5 -1 -
C. Bediako * 20 3-5 0-0 5-6 6 2 1 1 0 11 16 -
N. Gurley * 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
JD Davison 30 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
D. Miles 19 4-7 2-4 4-4 6 1 0 0 2 14 12 -
J. Rojas 18 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 0 2 0 1 6 5 -
J. Gary 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
J. Holt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Molinar 35 8-17 1-2 7-8 6 4 2 0 3 24 16 -
G. Brooks 33 6-12 0-3 4-6 10 0 1 1 0 16 16 -
A. Garcia 24 2-4 0-1 4-8 7 1 2 0 2 8 12 -
R. Watts 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fountain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Moore * 26 3-10 0-4 9-9 5 1 1 0 1 15 11 -
D.J. Jeffries * 24 2-6 1-4 0-1 2 1 1 1 2 5 2 -
T. Smith * 20 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
C. Matthews 23 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
J. Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter