Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iverson Molinar * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Garrison Brooks * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tolu Smith * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Rocket Watts * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shakeel Moore | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Andersson Garcia | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Javian Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Camryn Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Fountain | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Pinson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Murray * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Darius Days * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mwani Wilkinson * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Efton Reid * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tari Eason | 28 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Eric Gaines | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shareef O'Neal | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Justice Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter