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Michigan

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History
Coach: John Beilein

2017 Team Stats (12 games)

73.1
PPG
68.8
Opp
+4.3
Margin
46.9%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
81.6%
FT%
28.8
RPG
13.3
APG
9.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.4
Adj PPG
61.7
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1442 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1279 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1186 (#9) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +18.0 (#19) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +19.9 (#11) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.803 (#29) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.4 More → 0.949 (#20) AdjNet +25.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.7 More → 0.951 (#20) AdjNet +25.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.821 (#20) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.774 (#9) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.884 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.878 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 39 More → 1301 (#17) RD 84 | GP 39

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Howard Bison W 76 - 58
2016-11-13 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 77 - 65
2016-11-17 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 79 - 61
2016-11-18 @ SMU Mustangs W 76 - 54
2016-11-23 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 46 - 61
2016-11-26 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 64 - 47
2016-11-30 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 70 - 73
2016-12-03 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 82 - 55
2016-12-06 vs Texas Longhorns W 53 - 50
2016-12-10 @ UCLA Bruins L 84 - 102
2016-12-13 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 97 - 53
2016-12-17 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 98 - 49
2016-12-22 vs Furman Paladins W 68 - 62
2017-01-01 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 83 - 86
2017-01-04 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 72 - 69
2017-01-07 vs Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 77
2017-01-11 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 69 - 85
2017-01-14 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 91 - 85
2017-01-17 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 64 - 68
2017-01-21 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 66 - 57
2017-01-26 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 90 - 60
2017-01-29 @ Michigan State Spartans L 62 - 70
2017-02-04 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 66 - 70
2017-02-07 vs Michigan State Spartans W 86 - 57
2017-02-12 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 75 - 63
2017-02-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 64 - 58
2017-02-19 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 78 - 83
2017-02-22 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 68 - 64
2017-02-25 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 82 - 70
2017-03-01 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 65 - 67
2017-03-05 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 93 - 57
2017-03-09 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 55
2017-03-10 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 74 - 70
2017-03-11 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 84 - 77
2017-03-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 71 - 56
2017-03-17 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 92 - 91
2017-03-19 @ Louisville Cardinals W 73 - 69
2017-03-23 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 69
2017-04-01 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 89 - 79

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Walton Jr. D. Walton Jr. G 29 35.3 15.4 4.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 1.7 5.4 19.2 55 36 1.5 5.2 39.2 37.9 91.4 0.3 118.1 50.6
Zak Irvin Zak Irvin G 29 35.7 13.0 4.7 3.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 5.7 14.1 41 36 1.1 3.7 49.4 43.3 50.0 -1.73 108.3 57.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 12 22.4 12.1 3.2 0.5 1.2 0.2 1.4 8.2 7.8 - - - - 55.1 39.0 75.0 - 65.7 63.3
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner - 25 23.8 11.3 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 1.4 0.9 14.7 - - - - 47.8 25.0 84.6 - 492.7 52.2
D.J. Wilson D.J. Wilson - 29 31.0 11.2 5.7 1.3 0.6 1.7 1.0 4.1 15.4 63 36 1.8 7.2 47.5 34.0 89.5 3.07 128.6 54.2
M. Abdur-Rahkman M. Abdur-Rahkman G 29 31.2 9.0 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.1 3.5 10.1 92 35 2.6 9.7 45.1 30.2 84.6 6.95 115.0 51.5
Duncan Robinson Duncan Robinson - 29 20.2 7.8 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.4 2.4 8.2 -4 36 -0.1 -0.5 44.3 42.9 63.6 -0.92 151.0 59.3
Mark Donnal Mark Donnal F 29 11.9 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 5.0 64 36 1.8 6.5 58.3 66.7 84.6 1.18 183.4 66.7
Ibi Watson Ibi Watson G 12 4.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.2 21 16 1.3 17.5 25.0 0.0 50.0 1.51 174.2 25.0
Zavier Simpson Zavier Simpson - 29 8.3 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.3 2.3 13 33 0.4 3.3 33.3 25.0 63.6 -0.69 115.6 38.9
Sean Lonergan Sean Lonergan F 12 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 2 13 0.2 3.0 0.0 0 0 -2.03 350.0 0.0
Fred Wright-Jones Fred Wright-Jones G 7 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 -5 8 -0.6 -16.7 0 0 0 -2.46 0 0
Jon Teske Jon Teske C 15 2.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 -6 17 -0.4 -5.0 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0
Brent Hibbitts Brent Hibbitts - 7 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG