Marywood
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#416) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 937 (#445) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#628) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.5 (#346) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.8 (#681) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.314 (#584) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.090 (#652) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.084 (#655) | AdjNet -20.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.199 (#658) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 85.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.236 (#721) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.190 (#669) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.198 (#679) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#446) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Clarkson | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Nazareth | L | 86 - 98 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Keystone | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Hartwick | W | 91 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Rosemont | W | 83 - 53 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | American | L | 53 - 113 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | King's (PA) | W | 101 - 98 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Messiah | W | 93 - 85 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Wilson | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Kenyon | L | 67 - 93 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Haverford | L | 60 - 110 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Pratt | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Neumann | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Marymount (VA) | L | 47 - 71 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Immaculata | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Centenary (NJ) | L | 68 - 87 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 69 - 94 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Pratt | L | 65 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Macciocco | - | 22 | 25.5 | 13.4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 10.8 | 7.5 | -45 | -2.2 | -11.6 | 40.8 | 30.0 | 76.6 | -1.82 | 54.3 | 49.6 |
| Collin Himmelberg | - | 22 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.6 | 7.9 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 40.2 | 36.0 | 82.1 | -0.8 | 55.4 | 50.6 |
| Michel Loftin | - | 22 | 31.1 | 13.3 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 11.7 | 9.6 | -41 | -2.0 | -8.7 | 38.4 | 28.1 | 73.4 | -0.15 | 49.9 | 45.3 |
| Andrew Quinn | - | 21 | 21.8 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 5.8 | -27 | -1.4 | -8.1 | 46.5 | 36.5 | 84.8 | -1.54 | 58.7 | 55.2 |
| Shilo Bivins | - | 22 | 27.5 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 10.1 | -60 | -2.9 | -13.7 | 54.3 | 23.3 | 55.2 | 0.26 | 57.1 | 56.6 |
| Noah Perry | - | 21 | 20.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 58 | 3.1 | 24.8 | 34.4 | 28.0 | 65.0 | 1.6 | 44.6 | 42.6 |
| Ty Cheney | - | 22 | 20.6 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 6.4 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.4 | 40.7 | 28.6 | 88.2 | -0.98 | 50.3 | 45.7 |
| Austin Bausman | - | 3 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | -28 | -9.3 | -38.2 | 36.4 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 1.95 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
| Pedro Lugo | - | 21 | 13.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.7 | 50.0 | 14.3 | 63.4 | -0.59 | 57.0 | 51.1 |
| Zack Patetta | - | 13 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | -19 | -1.7 | -14.1 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 41.7 | -0.31 | 44.7 | 44.3 |
| Reece Garvin | - | 21 | 8.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -55 | -2.9 | -71.9 | 26.0 | 19.5 | 66.7 | -2.29 | 37.1 | 34.0 |
| Robbie Logan | - | 4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -6.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.22 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Max Maslowski | - | 9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -16 | -2.0 | -685.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.54 | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Zach Carpenter | - | 9 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -11 | -1.4 | -119.5 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.51 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Noah Reiser | - | 7 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -17 | -2.8 | -728.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG