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Mt. St. Mary (NY)

Also known as: Mt. St. Mary (NY)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 685 (#650) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 687 (#638) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 737 (#774) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -32.9 (#418) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -26.7 (#734) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.060 (#757) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -39.0 More → 0.011 (#773) AdjNet -39.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -39.4 More → 0.010 (#774) AdjNet -39.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 86.9 More → 0.070 (#767) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 86.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 80.2 More → 0.145 (#767) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 80.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.065 (#766) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.072 (#767) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 666 (#619) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Fordham L 37 - 106
2025-11-08 vs Hunter W 71 - 58
2025-11-15 vs Pratt L 63 - 81
2025-11-21 vs Bard W 62 - 55
2025-11-22 vs Vassar L 58 - 105
2025-11-25 vs Russell Sage L 74 - 85
2025-11-30 @ Amherst L 53 - 95
2025-12-06 @ Misericordia L 45 - 80
2025-12-13 @ Purchase L 71 - 95
2025-12-21 vs Penn St. Brandywine W 73 - 42
2025-12-29 @ Wash. & Lee L 39 - 94
2025-12-30 @ Marywood L 71 - 85
2026-01-03 vs Manhattanville L 63 - 65
2026-01-07 vs UMSV L 57 - 68
2026-01-10 @ Yeshiva L 60 - 89
2026-01-14 @ Sarah Lawrence L 50 - 68
2026-01-17 vs SUNY Maritime L 69 - 81
2026-01-20 @ Merchant Marine L 48 - 65
2026-01-24 vs St. Joseph's (L.I.) L 66 - 87
2026-01-28 @ Farmingdale St. L 40 - 89
2026-01-31 vs Old Westbury L 78 - 95
2026-02-04 @ St. Joseph's (Brkln) L 74 - 80
2026-02-07 vs Purchase L 54 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Hammond - 1 22.0 16.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 62 3.6 22.2 50.0 50.0 0 -0.27 66.7 66.7
Justin Amadi - 1 22.7 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 85.7 0 0 - 85.7 85.7
Abdou Khadre KĂŠbĂŠ - 1 18.8 12.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Trey Deveaux - 1 24.6 11.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 100.0 - 48.1 45.5
Anastasios Rozakeas - 1 18.6 11.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 - - - 66.7 60.0 0 - 91.7 91.7
Justin Rivera - 20 25.5 9.2 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.1 2.5 9.9 3.2 -74 -4.1 -26.0 30.8 26.0 69.1 -3.44 41.6 37.1
Matthew Walsh - 20 25.9 9.2 3.5 2.1 1.9 0.2 1.8 7.7 7.4 -4 -0.2 -1.2 41.6 24.6 66.1 -1.51 51.1 47.1
Anthony Arrington - 1 23.2 9.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 2.0 - - - 30.8 12.5 0.0 - 32.4 34.6
Patrick Haigh - 1 15.2 9.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 60.0 60.0 0 - 90.0 90.0
J.P. Egan - 21 24.4 8.1 4.2 1.9 1.1 0.6 1.2 8.4 6.2 -55 -2.9 -19.0 40.7 25.3 42.9 -0.91 46.7 46.6
Brenden Graham - 20 24.3 6.5 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.7 6.3 3.6 6 0.3 1.9 34.1 25.0 68.3 0.6 45.5 40.9
Rob Geremino - 19 18.6 6.3 2.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.1 6.4 3.4 -47 -2.8 -38.3 32.0 26.8 73.3 -1.42 44.0 39.8
Zane Adnan - 1 23.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 61 5.1 37.2 33.3 33.3 0 2.77 50.0 50.0
Mason So - 1 23.7 5.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Drew Martin - 1 18.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 98 5.8 40.6 40.0 0 50.0 5.51 42.5 40.0
Liam Lynch - 20 13.1 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.4 4.2 2.8 -64 -3.4 -43.0 36.5 25.6 64.9 -1.06 47.4 42.4
Conor Gemmill - 19 17.6 4.4 3.0 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.5 4.8 2.3 -75 -3.9 -32.1 34.8 25.0 61.5 1.13 42.5 40.8
Elijah Espinosa - 1 17.3 4.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 -27 -1.6 -12.1 100.0 0 50.0 0.29 72.5 100.0
Ryan Hempfling - 1 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 8 1.3 42.7 50.0 0 100.0 1.35 69.4 50.0
Matt Monaco - 21 15.6 3.7 2.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.7 3.7 3.5 -58 -3.1 -31.7 45.5 9.1 85.7 -3.68 48.1 46.1
Soren Holmbo - 16 5.8 2.4 1.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 2.1 2.1 -25 -1.8 -41.2 41.2 25.0 61.5 -1.31 49.1 45.6
Nate Pabis - 1 12.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 20 1.2 13.7 0 0 100.0 -2.21 113.6 0
Daniel Herzner - 20 10.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.1 -68 -3.8 -62.9 28.3 20.6 46.2 -0.84 37.7 35.9
Anthony Marzziotti - 21 10.4 1.8 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.6 -69 -3.6 -47.5 27.3 29.7 40.0 -1.2 40.0 39.8
Brody Schuh - 15 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.9 -3 -0.2 -16.5 37.5 16.7 77.8 0.4 50.1 40.6
Jorge Jimenez - 14 3.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.0 3 0.2 18.1 18.8 37.5 50.0 -0.27 33.3 28.1
Kaleb Eller - 19 6.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 -0.8 -17 -1.0 -19.3 17.6 0.0 75.0 -0.77 21.0 17.6
Matthew Shupenis - 14 4.2 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.1 -11 -0.8 -15.3 40.0 0.0 37.5 -0.0 40.7 40.0
Arlandus Keyes - 1 26.2 0.0 5.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
John Miller IV - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 25 1.7 31.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.42 0.0 0.0
Jacob Blank - 1 12.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG