Mt. St. Mary (NY)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 607 (#654) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 629 (#649) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 737 (#774) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -33.8 (#525) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.7 (#734) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.060 (#757) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.011 (#773) | AdjNet -39.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.010 (#774) | AdjNet -39.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.070 (#767) | AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 86.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.145 (#767) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 80.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.065 (#766) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.072 (#767) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 665 (#624) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Fordham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Hunter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Pratt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Vassar | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Amherst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Misericordia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Marywood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Manhattanville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | UMSV | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | SUNY Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Farmingdale St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Old Westbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | St. Joseph's (Brkln) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Purchase | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hammond | - | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 62 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Matthew Walsh | - | 19 | 26.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 7.8 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 41.8 | 25.0 | 66.1 | -0.8 | 51.2 | 47.4 |
| Justin Rivera | - | 19 | 26.1 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 3.4 | -74 | -4.1 | -26.0 | 30.8 | 25.5 | 69.8 | -1.55 | 41.5 | 36.9 |
| J.P. Egan | - | 20 | 25.1 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 6.5 | -55 | -2.9 | -19.0 | 40.5 | 25.9 | 42.9 | -0.99 | 46.6 | 46.5 |
| Brenden Graham | - | 19 | 24.9 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 34.4 | 25.0 | 68.3 | 0.59 | 45.8 | 41.2 |
| Rob Geremino | - | 18 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 3.6 | -47 | -2.8 | -38.3 | 31.4 | 26.5 | 73.3 | -0.66 | 43.4 | 39.0 |
| Zane Adnan | - | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 61 | 5.1 | 37.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Drew Martin | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 98 | 5.8 | 40.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 4.53 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Conor Gemmill | - | 18 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 2.6 | -75 | -3.9 | -32.1 | 36.4 | 26.8 | 61.5 | -3.61 | 44.3 | 42.6 |
| Liam Lynch | - | 19 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 2.9 | -64 | -3.4 | -43.0 | 36.2 | 26.3 | 60.6 | -2.52 | 46.6 | 42.5 |
| Ryan Hempfling | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 1.3 | 42.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Matt Monaco | - | 20 | 15.5 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.6 | -58 | -3.1 | -31.7 | 46.7 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -0.25 | 49.6 | 47.3 |
| Soren Holmbo | - | 15 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -25 | -1.8 | -41.2 | 43.3 | 30.0 | 54.5 | -2.75 | 50.2 | 48.3 |
| Daniel Herzner | - | 19 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -68 | -3.8 | -62.9 | 30.2 | 21.9 | 46.2 | -2.1 | 40.0 | 38.4 |
| Nate Pabis | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.53 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Anthony Marzziotti | - | 20 | 9.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -69 | -3.6 | -47.5 | 29.3 | 31.4 | 40.0 | -3.96 | 42.8 | 42.7 |
| Brody Schuh | - | 14 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.2 | -16.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -0.57 | 47.0 | 33.3 |
| Jorge Jimenez | - | 13 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | 0.2 | 18.1 | 27.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.94 | 40.6 | 40.9 |
| Matthew Shupenis | - | 14 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | -11 | -0.8 | -15.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 0.63 | 40.7 | 40.0 |
| Kaleb Eller | - | 18 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | -0.9 | -17 | -1.0 | -19.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.81 | 20.5 | 16.7 |
| Jacob Blank | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG