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Messiah

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Messiah
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 817 (#604) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 802 (#590) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 799 (#755) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -21.3 (#375) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -23.1 (#713) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.168 (#693) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.3 More → 0.087 (#658) AdjNet -20.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.083 (#656) AdjNet -20.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 82.3 More → 0.206 (#652) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 82.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 84.0 More → 0.196 (#743) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 84.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.116 (#734) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.122 (#737) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 21 More → 730 (#605) RD 100 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Gallaudet W 85 - 71
2025-11-11 vs Elizabethtown L 72 - 88
2025-11-14 vs St. Joseph's (Brkln) L 94 - 103
2025-11-15 vs Salisbury L 68 - 90
2025-11-19 vs Shenandoah L 61 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Wilson W 94 - 89
2025-12-03 vs McDaniel L 67 - 70
2025-12-10 @ Marywood L 85 - 93
2025-12-13 @ Dickinson L 76 - 94
2025-12-20 @ Lebanon Valley W 84 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Juniata W 78 - 75
2026-01-07 vs Stevenson L 66 - 98
2026-01-10 @ Widener L 79 - 89
2026-01-14 vs Albright L 57 - 79
2026-01-17 @ York (PA) L 62 - 94
2026-01-21 @ Eastern L 57 - 90
2026-01-24 vs Alvernia L 70 - 88
2026-01-28 vs Hood L 62 - 80
2026-01-31 vs York (PA) L 82 - 91
2026-02-04 @ Albright L 68 - 83
2026-02-07 vs Widener L 89 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayden Rowe - 1 35.6 31.0 7.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 27.0 16.0 34 2.6 10.7 48.1 33.3 40.0 0.22 53.1 53.7
David Kearney - 1 35.4 27.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 23.0 9 0.5 1.9 55.6 25.0 100.0 -0.09 65.4 58.3
Michel Loftin - 1 31.1 25.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 19.0 15.0 -41 -2.0 -8.7 42.1 30.0 85.7 -0.15 56.6 50.0
Joe Macciocco - 1 25.3 25.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 15.0 -45 -2.2 -11.6 47.4 42.9 50.0 -1.82 62.9 63.2
Colin Mills - 1 36.3 24.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 21.0 10.0 -2 -0.1 -0.5 47.6 75.0 33.3 -0.45 53.8 54.8
Jacob Aryee - 1 20.3 22.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 12.0 -33 -2.1 -18.8 52.9 33.3 33.3 -1.09 60.0 61.8
Jory Valencia - 1 38.0 22.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 17.0 21.0 -71 -6.5 -26.8 58.8 28.6 0 -0.26 64.7 64.7
Myles Bright - 1 38.0 21.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 8.0 14 0.7 4.0 36.8 60.0 50.0 -0.2 52.8 52.6
Jorden Bennett - 1 30.6 18.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 18.0 13.0 22 5.5 29.0 33.3 0.0 75.0 -0.12 41.8 33.3
Joey Dopirak - 1 20.2 17.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 5.0 24 2.2 43.8 46.2 45.5 0 3.23 65.4 65.4
Isaiah Edmond - 1 22.7 17.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 11.0 12 0.8 2.8 80.0 0 100.0 -0.07 81.4 80.0
Jacob Idowu - 1 31.4 17.0 13.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 12.0 5 0.3 1.0 31.2 20.0 100.0 -0.69 45.6 34.4
Caleb Lyles - 12 32.7 16.5 6.4 1.8 1.5 0.2 3.8 13.2 9.4 -79 -4.2 -12.7 40.9 14.8 83.3 0.13 51.9 43.4
Cooper Haberern - 2 27.9 16.0 8.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 10.5 112 8.0 24.5 26.7 25.0 90.0 3.99 46.5 38.3
Justin Munson - 1 31.9 16.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 17.0 -34 -1.8 -7.4 44.4 0.0 80.0 0.05 59.7 44.4
Jayden Bilger - 1 35.9 15.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 12.0 9.0 -22 -1.5 -9.6 50.0 50.0 0.0 -1.8 58.2 62.5
Cole Cosby - 1 32.3 15.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 13.0 1 0.1 0.3 50.0 50.0 100.0 -2.76 68.9 65.0
Ty Kocak - 1 38.4 14.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 11.0 -35 -2.3 -10.6 35.7 0.0 44.4 0.06 39.0 35.7
Kori Segich - 1 33.4 14.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 15.0 -1 -0.1 -0.3 57.1 0.0 75.0 1.2 66.5 57.1
Tate Landis - 2 29.1 13.5 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.5 10.0 77 5.1 18.5 47.6 41.7 33.3 2.48 57.1 59.5
Ben Wert - 11 27.6 13.0 4.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.5 10.5 7.5 -20 -1.2 -6.5 48.3 35.8 60.0 2.87 57.3 56.5
Jaiden Aze - 1 30.7 13.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 19.0 -26 -1.7 -12.5 83.3 0 60.0 -0.86 79.3 83.3
Collin Himmelberg - 1 27.5 13.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 8.0 6 0.3 1.6 38.5 37.5 0 -0.8 50.0 50.0
Matt Mahoney - 1 22.8 12.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 24 2.2 34.5 50.0 50.0 0 2.94 75.0 75.0
Ben Troyer - 2 15.7 12.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 9.5 8.0 45 3.0 14.9 42.1 28.6 60.0 -0.95 51.3 47.4
Jay-Nelly Reyes - 1 29.2 12.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 12.0 23 1.4 8.3 41.7 0.0 50.0 1.09 43.6 41.7
Johnny McBride - 12 25.9 11.3 7.5 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.6 9.1 11.3 -6 -0.3 -1.3 54.1 0.0 48.6 3.32 54.3 54.1
William Littles Jr. - 1 34.2 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 1.0 -7 -0.5 -2.3 33.3 30.0 0 0.01 45.8 45.8
Aleks Smith - 2 22.6 11.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 11.5 21 1.5 8.8 61.5 0.0 100.0 0.93 70.3 61.5
Andrew Quinn - 1 20.6 10.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 -27 -1.4 -8.1 42.9 33.3 100.0 -1.54 63.5 57.1
Timothy Richardson - 1 26.1 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 -4 -0.2 -3.0 30.0 40.0 100.0 -0.32 46.0 40.0
Bruce Black - 1 17.6 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 35 1.7 11.0 60.0 0 100.0 1.21 71.2 60.0
Ashenafi Stuart - 1 29.7 9.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 -33 -1.6 -7.3 42.9 20.0 100.0 0.09 57.1 50.0
Wyatt Carlson - 1 20.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 13.0 0.0 -2 -0.2 -1.7 23.1 25.0 100.0 -1.29 32.4 26.9
Austin Wrynn - 1 22.4 9.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 8.0 14 1.0 8.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.11 53.3 50.0
Jordan Edwards-Saliu - 9 25.4 8.9 8.3 0.4 0.9 0.6 1.4 6.7 11.0 -40 -2.5 -12.1 45.0 0.0 66.7 -4.01 51.8 45.0
Kaydin Ford - 1 16.5 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -11 -1.2 -237.8 50.0 0 80.0 -0.59 64.5 50.0
Noah Perry - 1 19.8 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 58 3.1 24.8 50.0 33.3 60.0 1.6 64.5 62.5
Ethan Dodson - 1 22.7 8.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 -74 -3.7 -32.9 80.0 0 0 -1.86 80.0 80.0
Ryan Shaffer - 1 25.7 7.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 -4 -0.2 -1.1 37.5 33.3 0 0.64 43.8 43.8
Freddy Herbst - 2 18.9 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 5.0 8.5 - - - 30.0 0.0 53.3 1.49 42.2 30.0
Ethan Glass - 1 19.4 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -4 -0.3 -2.4 50.0 66.7 50.0 2.06 71.7 75.0
TJ Bryson - 1 26.7 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 -40 -2.0 -15.1 75.0 100.0 0 -1.14 87.5 87.5
Avery Kopcha - 12 19.2 6.8 1.8 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.8 5.5 3.8 -105 -5.5 -25.3 42.4 37.8 64.3 -1.7 56.8 55.3
Noah Bailey - 1 18.1 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 3 0.2 2.6 50.0 50.0 0 -0.25 75.0 75.0
Joe Bruce - 1 19.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 3.0 -31 -2.1 -11.6 28.6 20.0 50.0 0.87 38.1 35.7
Tre Yawn - 1 36.1 6.0 5.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 12.0 -25 -1.8 -12.5 12.5 0.0 66.7 0.09 28.2 12.5
Matt Kearney - 1 19.6 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 -59 -3.1 -19.8 0.0 0 75.0 -2.33 66.4 0.0
Michael Bischoping - 5 19.7 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.2 1.6 1.4 5.2 5.2 -37 -5.3 -122.0 38.5 26.7 60.0 0.29 47.9 46.2
Zack Patetta - 1 8.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -19 -1.7 -14.1 66.7 100.0 0 -0.31 83.3 83.3
Nick Schroeder - 2 17.3 4.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 4.0 54 3.6 18.0 33.3 40.0 50.0 2.69 45.5 44.4
Marek Hoyt - 1 6.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 20 2.5 393.4 33.3 0.0 0 0.21 33.3 33.3
Shilo Bivins - 1 33.1 4.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 -60 -2.9 -13.7 40.0 0.0 0 0.26 40.0 40.0
Juan Ruiz - 1 15.8 4.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 37 3.4 176.9 28.6 0 0 1.41 28.6 28.6
Dylan Schlatter - 1 20.8 4.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 -42 -2.5 -26.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 -1.11 36.8 40.0
Nabhi Abbushi Jr. - 1 29.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 16.0 -8.0 -69 -23.0 -247.5 12.5 0.0 0 0.07 12.5 12.5
Justin Nazon - 1 19.2 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 45 2.6 19.9 25.0 0 100.0 4.69 41.0 25.0
Cameron Thompson - 5 12.4 3.0 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 3.0 6.4 -2.8 52 3.1 37.0 12.5 0.0 58.3 0.46 20.1 12.5
Camden Ochs - 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -21 -5.2 -187.4 100.0 100.0 0 -1.6 150.0 150.0
Adam Jasaraj - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5 0.3 1.7 100.0 100.0 0 1.06 150.0 150.0
Quint Fryer - 7 6.8 2.1 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 3.0 0.0 5 0.5 7.4 28.6 7.7 40.0 1.04 32.3 31.0
Jack Duckett - 2 9.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Mikey Ayala Jr. - 1 31.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 -60 -3.3 -17.5 33.3 0.0 0 -1.21 33.3 33.3
Dallas George - 1 14.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 -2 -0.1 -1.1 25.0 0.0 0 -0.75 25.0 25.0
Ty Cheney - 1 19.2 2.0 5.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 14.0 -7 -0.4 -3.4 33.3 0 0 -0.98 33.3 33.3
B.J. McNeil - 1 1.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -29 -3.2 -97.6 100.0 0 0 1.98 100.0 100.0
Luis Ruiz - 1 12.8 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 2 0.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.69 34.7 0.0
Theo Burke - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3 -0.5 -58.5 0 0 50.0 -0.8 56.8 0
Emmett Kane - 1 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -23 -1.1 -19.0 50.0 0.0 0 3.16 50.0 50.0
Nazareth Warren - 1 6.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -11 -0.7 -14.6 100.0 0 0.0 -0.4 69.4 100.0
Peyton Rummler - 10 9.3 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.8 -83 -5.9 -108.9 30.8 28.6 62.5 -2.16 45.4 38.5
Noah Reiser - 1 0.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -17 -2.8 -728.6 0 0 50.0 -0.54 56.8 0
Simon Dlugi - 2 3.6 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 15 1.2 31.6 100.0 0 0 -0.95 100.0 100.0
David Weaver - 2 11.8 1.0 5.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 7.5 24 2.2 44.6 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.55 29.1 33.3
Melchizedek Jonah - 1 5.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -9 -1.0 -12.4 0.0 0 0 -0.27 0.0 0.0
Drew Colman - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31 1.7 46.1 0 0 0 -1.2 0 0
Cole Riley - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 28 3.5 66.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.0 0.0 0.0
Zach Carpenter - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.4 -119.5 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Reece Garvin - 1 10.4 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -55 -2.9 -71.9 0.0 0.0 0 -2.29 0.0 0.0
Robbie Logan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.7 -6.8 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0
Pedro Lugo - 1 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -8 -0.4 -3.7 0 0 0 -0.59 0 0
Max Maslowski - 1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -2.0 -685.7 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
Daniel Ablorh - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 1.3 61.9 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Andrew Cerullo - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -3.0 9 1.1 26.4 0.0 0.0 0 2.06 0.0 0.0
Ryan Leskauskas - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11 1.0 4.2 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
Charlie Lynch - 1 1.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Cline - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -13 -3.2 -116.0 0.0 0 0 -1.6 0.0 0.0
Drew Pape - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 17 1.4 25.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.35 0.0 0.0
Kai Stryhn - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -2.4 -93.5 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0
Colin Treude - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 49 3.5 49.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Anthony Sciote - 1 9.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 23 1.8 29.4 0.0 0.0 0 -1.19 0.0 0.0
Matt Johnson - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -35 -1.3 -62.5 0.0 0 0 -1.05 0.0 0.0
Jayden Lawrence - 1 8.6 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -74 -5.3 -123.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.97 0.0 0.0
Namisse Musonge - 1 12.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -42 -2.1 -26.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.94 0.0 0.0
Brandon Washington - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -1.0 -15.6 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Luke Florio - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4 0.4 13.2 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
Alex Ortman - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 -83 -6.4 -37.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.03 0.0 0.0
Joseph Abraham - 1 9.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6 0.5 7.4 0.0 0.0 0 1.1 0.0 0.0
Blaise Corozzo - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -33 -3.3 -26.5 0 0 0 1.81 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG