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Kentucky

Also known as: Kentucky Wildcats, Kentucky
Program History

2022 Team Stats (26 games)

79.1
PPG
66.6
Opp
+12.8
Margin
48.3%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
40.0
RPG
16.1
APG
12.0
TO
82.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1474 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1497 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1104 (#57) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +41.3 (#11) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +28.6 (#13) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.672 (#27) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.8 More → 0.870 (#20) NetEff +16.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.8 More → 0.860 (#10) AdjNet +15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.9 More → 0.862 (#10) AdjNet +15.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.750 (#15) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.944 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.925 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 34 More → 1299 (#24) RD 111 | GP 34

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 79
2021-11-12 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 100 - 60
2021-11-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 80 - 55
2021-11-19 vs Ohio Bobcats W 77 - 59
2021-11-22 vs Albany Great Danes W 86 - 61
2021-11-26 vs North Florida Ospreys W 86 - 52
2021-11-29 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 85 - 57
2021-12-07 vs Southern Jaguars W 76 - 64
2021-12-11 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 62 - 66
2021-12-18 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 98 - 69
2021-12-22 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 95 - 60
2021-12-29 vs Missouri Tigers W 83 - 56
2021-12-31 vs High Point Panthers W 92 - 48
2022-01-04 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 65
2022-01-08 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 92 - 77
2022-01-11 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 78 - 66
2022-01-15 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 107 - 79
2022-01-19 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 64 - 58
2022-01-22 @ Auburn Tigers L 71 - 80
2022-01-25 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 82 - 74
2022-01-29 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 80 - 62
2022-02-02 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 77 - 70
2022-02-05 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 66 - 55
2022-02-08 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 86 - 76
2022-02-12 vs Florida Gators W 78 - 57
2022-02-15 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 63 - 76
2022-02-19 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 90 - 81
2022-02-23 vs LSU Tigers W 71 - 66
2022-02-26 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 73 - 75
2022-03-01 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 83 - 72
2022-03-05 @ Florida Gators W 71 - 63
2022-03-11 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 77 - 71
2022-03-12 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 62 - 69
2022-03-17 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 79 - 85

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
O. Tshiebwe O. Tshiebwe - 34 31.9 17.4 15.1 1.1 1.8 1.6 1.9 10.2 24.8 - - - 61.2 0 70.2 2.55 71.9 61.2
T. Washington Jr. T. Washington Jr. - 28 29.4 12.9 3.5 4.0 1.3 0.2 1.7 9.6 10.5 -64 -2.1 -3.4 45.2 37.2 73.2 2.36 61.1 51.1
K. Grady K. Grady G 31 33.3 11.0 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.8 8.4 6.0 314 9.2 12.3 43.1 39.1 75.0 1.32 61.8 56.5
Brooks Jr., Keion Brooks Jr., Keion - 30 24.9 10.8 4.6 1.1 0.8 0.7 1.3 7.0 9.6 - - - 49.8 25.0 77.3 - 66.6 50.9
S. Wheeler S. Wheeler - 27 31.3 9.4 2.6 6.6 0.9 0.1 3.0 7.7 8.9 - - - 43.5 29.5 75.0 1.59 55.9 46.6
D. Mintz D. Mintz G 28 25.0 8.5 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 6.6 5.6 279 9.0 14.0 37.1 31.8 66.7 2.09 57.3 46.2
J. Toppin J. Toppin - 29 17.7 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 4.2 6.6 - - - 56.2 40.0 73.2 0.86 64.4 57.9
N. Opoku N. Opoku F 1 31.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
L. McDay L. McDay G 1 18.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 19 3.8 7.4 0 0 0 0.24 0 0
D. Collins D. Collins - 27 7.5 2.9 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.4 4.0 135 4.1 6.0 57.9 0.0 84.2 1.43 84.1 57.9
B. Hopkins B. Hopkins - 25 6.3 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.8 18 0.6 3.6 42.5 25.0 45.5 -0.39 56.9 46.2
D. Allen D. Allen - 17 6.5 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.5 0.9 37 2.1 10.5 23.8 12.9 100.0 0.03 37.7 28.6
L. Ware L. Ware F 25 6.2 1.6 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 2.8 19 0.7 4.2 71.4 0.0 42.1 -0.06 66.4 71.4
Z. Payne Z. Payne - 7 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 68.0 20.0
B. Canada B. Canada - 9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
C. Fletcher C. Fletcher F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -77 -2.7 -6.6 - - - -0.11 - -
D. Askew D. Askew G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 36 1.1 2.8 - - - 0.38 - -
K. Watkins K. Watkins - 9 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG