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2022-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.3% 34.7% -
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grady 39 4-13 4-12 1-2 1 2 2 0 2 13 3 -
T. Washington Jr. 33 2-9 1-3 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 5 6 -
D. Mintz 27 4-12 3-8 5-6 0 2 0 1 4 16 3 -
K. Brooks Jr. 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
L. Ware 13 1-1 0-0 0-4 3 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
S. Wheeler 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hopkins 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
O. Tshiebwe * 29 4-9 0-0 0-3 13 0 2 1 2 8 13 -
J. Toppin 27 6-9 0-0 2-3 8 2 2 1 0 14 18 -
D. Collins 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Murray * 30 4-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 10 5 -
D. Days * 29 3-12 3-11 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
X. Pinson * 28 5-11 1-3 0-2 4 4 3 0 4 11 7 -
M. Wilkinson * 27 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 0 5 -
E. Reid III * 18 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 3 1 6 8 -
T. Eason 29 4-9 0-1 5-7 6 3 0 1 2 13 12 -
E. Gaines 22 3-6 2-2 0-0 2 3 4 0 3 8 8 -
A. Fudge 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
J. Williams 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter