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2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grady * 40 5-9 4-7 3-4 2 1 2 0 0 17 13 -
O. Tshiebwe * 38 7-12 0-0 2-2 14 1 2 4 1 16 24 -
S. Wheeler * 36 7-12 1-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 17 8 -
K. Brooks Jr. * 23 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 6 2 -
T. Washington Jr. * 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
D. Mintz 31 2-7 0-2 1-1 1 4 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Toppin 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 1 1 2 0 0 6 5 -
D. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Ware 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Hopkins 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.D. Johnson 33 4-6 3-5 6-7 4 0 0 0 1 17 14 -
Dev. Cambridge 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
W. Kessler * 31 8-10 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 2 1 19 19 -
A. Flanigan * 29 2-5 0-2 4-6 4 2 0 0 2 8 7 -
J. Smith * 29 5-10 1-4 3-3 7 2 1 2 2 14 14 -
Z. Jasper * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 5 -
W. Green Jr. 29 2-8 2-5 5-6 0 5 1 0 3 11 6 -
J. Williams 11 2-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
D. Cardwell 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter