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2022-02-23

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Days * 39 4-15 2-10 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
Brandon Murray * 34 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Xavier Pinson * 34 6-20 2-7 12-13 2 8 1 0 3 26 14 -
Efton Reid * 25 2-2 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
Mwani Wilkinson * 23 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Eric Gaines 26 4-6 1-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 11 8 -
Tari Eason 13 2-7 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
Alex Fudge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justice Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kellan Grady * 40 5-13 0-5 3-3 3 3 1 0 3 13 4 -
Jacob Toppin * 39 2-7 1-2 3-4 6 0 1 1 0 8 9 -
Davion Mintz * 38 4-10 1-4 4-4 2 0 2 0 2 13 5 -
Oscar Tshiebwe * 38 5-7 0-0 7-11 16 0 0 3 0 17 29 -
K. Brooks Jr. * 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 3 6 0 -
Bryce Hopkins 16 5-6 0-1 3-6 4 0 0 0 1 13 10 -
Lance Ware 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Daimion Collins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Dontaie Allen 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter