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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 17.0% 83.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +27 (83-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brazile 26 2-4 0-2 0-1 5 0 0 2 2 4 5 -
R. DeGray III 25 3-6 1-4 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
J. Pickett 25 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
J. Coleman 24 4-9 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 10 4 -
Ko. Brown 24 2-9 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 6 2 -
A. Davis 24 3-10 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 10 4 -
D. Gordon 22 4-10 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
S. Durugordon 11 2-6 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
A. Brookshire 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Y. Keita 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ka. Brown 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Wilmore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wheeler 36 5-12 0-2 1-2 2 9 2 0 1 11 11 -
K. Grady 32 2-5 2-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
T. Washington Jr. 30 6-13 2-4 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 14 10 -
O. Tshiebwe 30 2-10 0-0 9-10 20 0 1 2 4 13 22 -
K. Brooks Jr. 27 7-11 0-1 3-4 9 1 0 2 1 17 17 -
D. Mintz 15 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 0 -
J. Toppin 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
L. Ware 7 0-0 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
B. Hopkins 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Collins 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Allen 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter