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Iona Gaels

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Iona Gaels
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

60.3
PPG
59.6
Opp
+0.7
Margin
36.6%
FG%
27.4%
3P%
73.6%
FT%
37.6
RPG
12.7
APG
13.9
TO
67.6
Est. poss./game
55.8
Adj PPG
65.7
Adj Opp PPG
#278
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 932 (#211) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 940 (#220) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1030 (#148) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -11.5 (#286) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -6.4 (#243) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.512 (#166) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.4 More → 0.512 (#166) NetEff +0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.8 More → 0.154 (#271) AdjNet -14.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.142 (#275) AdjNet -15.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.290 (#278) AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.468 (#199) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.331 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 31 More → 983 (#184) RD 145 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Mercy Mavericks W 65 - 50
2025-11-09 @ New Haven Chargers W 57 - 45
2025-11-14 @ Charleston Cougars L 44 - 75
2025-11-16 @ Davidson Wildcats L 52 - 82
2025-11-24 @ Wagner Seahawks W 63 - 57
2025-11-28 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 50 - 31
2025-11-29 vs UIC Flames W 52 - 50
2025-12-03 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 67 - 56
2025-12-07 @ Navy Midshipmen W 67 - 61
2025-12-13 vs Dartmouth Big Green L 57 - 65
2025-12-19 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers L 58 - 64
2025-12-21 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 55 - 65
2025-12-29 vs Rider Broncs W 72 - 53
2026-01-01 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 54 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Siena Saints L 80 - 94
2026-01-08 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 77 - 49
2026-01-10 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 60 - 51
2026-01-14 vs Merrimack Warriors W 58 - 51
2026-01-19 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 57 - 63
2026-01-22 @ Rider Broncs W 48 - 40
2026-01-24 vs Marist Red Foxes W 65 - 64
2026-01-29 @ Merrimack Warriors L 63 - 87
2026-01-31 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 65 - 51
2026-02-05 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 62 - 63
2026-02-07 @ Fairfield Stags L 46 - 82
2026-02-12 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 52 - 45
2026-02-14 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 72 - 55
2026-02-19 @ Siena Saints W 61 - 52
2026-02-21 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 66 - 55
2026-02-26 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 65 - 59
2026-03-07 vs Siena Saints W 59 - 50
2026-03-08 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 62 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zoey Ward Zoey Ward F 32 35.8 13.8 8.8 1.6 0.7 0.2 2.1 13.8 9.2 -22 28 -0.8 -1.0 37.2 30.1 69.1 -2.03 45.1 41.4
Isabellah Middleton Isabellah Middleton G 31 31.1 13.7 6.8 1.7 2.5 0.2 1.9 12.7 10.3 49 27 1.8 2.6 41.6 31.6 72.0 0.18 48.5 44.8
Chloe Vasquez Chloe Vasquez G 1 24.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 -0.66 59.2 56.2
Mya Zaccagnini Mya Zaccagnini G 32 29.3 8.3 3.1 2.3 1.1 0.3 1.8 8.0 5.3 2 28 0.1 0.1 36.2 29.3 80.4 -1.29 47.0 42.8
Ella Fajardo Ella Fajardo G 32 28.8 8.2 2.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 1.8 7.8 4.7 4 28 0.1 0.2 35.2 27.9 83.1 -0.48 46.8 41.4
Naomi Barnwell Naomi Barnwell F 27 20.2 5.7 4.2 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.8 6.1 4.6 50 23 2.2 4.6 36.6 27.3 69.0 1.92 42.5 38.4
Ale Civera Ale Civera G 32 20.8 4.0 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.3 4.5 2.9 -25 28 -0.9 -1.8 31.2 27.7 88.9 -2.34 42.5 39.2
Claudia Fiel Claudia Fiel G 32 17.9 3.1 2.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 1.2 3.4 3.3 28 28 1.0 2.5 33.0 22.5 56.7 -0.82 40.1 37.2
Adrianna Gonzalez Adrianna Gonzalez G 32 11.9 2.8 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.8 1.3 -83 27 -3.1 -11.9 24.8 13.7 81.5 -7.56 33.5 27.7
Yannie Chan Yannie Chan G 13 7.9 1.8 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.4 -12 13 -0.9 -4.8 50.0 28.6 60.0 -3.17 56.9 55.6
Nevaeh Stone Nevaeh Stone G 9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.1 -0.1 -6 6 -1.0 -8.5 50.0 0.0 100.0 -4.35 55.1 50.0
Johanna Flores Johanna Flores F 20 7.2 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 35 18 1.9 12.7 52.4 0.0 33.3 0.12 51.5 52.4
Arianna Davis Arianna Davis G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Amaya Evans Amaya Evans G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Wilma Tuomi Wilma Tuomi F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1937 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Middleton31% Ward26% Middleton28% Ward38% Middleton32% Middleton27% Civera39% Zaccagnini25% Ward43% Ward22%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Ward31% Ward26% Middleton29% Ward32% Middleton24% Zaccagnini25% Civera29% Zaccagnini22% Ward33% Ward22%
Misses: who misses most here

Zoey WardIsabellah MiddletonMya ZaccagniniAle Civera

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 227-433 52.4 454 Isabellah Middleton 31% (140 pts) Zoey Ward 23% (106 pts) Zoey Ward 31% (63 misses) Isabellah Middleton 23% (48 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 194-518 37.5 388 Zoey Ward 26% (102 pts) Isabellah Middleton 21% (80 pts) Zoey Ward 26% (83 misses) Isabellah Middleton 20% (66 misses)
Mid-range left 50-158 31.6 100 Isabellah Middleton 28% (28 pts) Ella Fajardo 26% (26 pts) Isabellah Middleton 29% (31 misses) Ella Fajardo 20% (22 misses)
Mid-range center 29-70 41.4 58 Zoey Ward 38% (22 pts) Mya Zaccagnini 24% (14 pts) Zoey Ward 32% (13 misses) Isabellah Middleton 27% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 34-117 29.1 68 Isabellah Middleton 32% (22 pts) Mya Zaccagnini 21% (14 pts) Isabellah Middleton 24% (20 misses) Zoey Ward 23% (19 misses)
Left corner 3 22-73 30.1 66 Isabellah Middleton 27% (18 pts) Mya Zaccagnini 18% (12 pts) Mya Zaccagnini 25% (13 misses) Ella Fajardo 18% (9 misses)
Right corner 3 18-70 25.7 54 Ale Civera 39% (21 pts) Isabellah Middleton 22% (12 pts) Ale Civera 29% (15 misses) Mya Zaccagnini 21% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 left 52-202 25.7 156 Mya Zaccagnini 25% (39 pts) Zoey Ward 19% (30 pts) Mya Zaccagnini 22% (33 misses) Ella Fajardo 21% (31 misses)
Above-break 3 center 28-113 24.8 84 Zoey Ward 43% (36 pts) Ella Fajardo 29% (24 pts) Zoey Ward 33% (28 misses) Ella Fajardo 27% (23 misses)
Above-break 3 right 55-183 30.1 165 Zoey Ward 22% (36 pts) Ella Fajardo 20% (33 pts) Zoey Ward 22% (28 misses) Ale Civera 16% (21 misses)