Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Iona Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iona Gaels +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Zabrecky | 39 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Tutu Clayton | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -4.3 |
| Julia Coleman | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -4.6 |
| Magdalena Winter | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Grace Harris | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Crystal Ortiz | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Samantha Serrano | 14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -1.2 |
| London Walker-George | 14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -0.0 |
| Jarius Powers | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Megen Sanaj | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ward | 38 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Mya Zaccagnini | 35 | 2-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | -0.0 |
| Isabellah Middleton | 30 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Claudia Fiel | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Ale Civera | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Ella Fajardo | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8.0 |
| Naomi Barnwell | 20 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Adrianna Gonzalez | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +10.1 |
* = starter