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2025-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Iona Gaels Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 76.9% 23.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Margin 72.6% 27.4% -5.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isabellah Middleton 37 3-9 0-0 7-10 10 1 2 0 1 13 16 +0.4
Ale Civera 29 2-4 2-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 8 10 -3.7
Zoey Ward 26 1-6 1-3 4-6 6 1 0 0 2 7 6 -1.0
Chloe Vasquez 24 4-8 1-3 1-1 3 0 2 0 1 10 6 +5.2
Claudia Fiel 23 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 5 3 -6.1
Ella Fajardo 22 3-5 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 10 9 +3.2
Naomi Barnwell 18 1-7 0-2 4-7 2 0 0 1 5 6 -3 +3.5
Mya Zaccagnini 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 2 1 +0.0
Adrianna Gonzalez 4 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Johanna Flores 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.7

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keana Foz 38 3-13 0-1 5-6 5 4 2 0 0 11 9 -2.2
Irene Fernandez de Caleya 33 5-10 1-3 1-2 8 2 0 0 3 12 9 -2.8
Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor 21 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 4 2 8 6 +3.7
Priscila Varela 20 2-6 1-5 0-2 3 0 0 1 3 5 0 -10.0
Maria Doreste 19 0-3 0-2 3-4 3 4 2 0 2 3 7 +9.0
Angelie Ricard 17 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -5.6
Raneem Elbarky 13 4-8 0-2 0-3 4 1 0 0 0 8 5 +1.7
Malia Mpondo 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5.5
Saioa San Francisco 10 1-2 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.5
Hawa Balde-Camara 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -7.3
Alivia Landy 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 +2.6
Jada Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.9

* = starter