Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ward | 38 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Isabellah Middleton | 38 | 6-21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ella Fajardo | 29 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Naomi Barnwell | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mya Zaccagnini | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Adrianna Gonzalez | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ale Civera | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Claudia Fiel | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Johanna Flores | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Melaschenko | 40 | 5-17 | 3-12 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Madison Roman | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Oralye Kiefer | 34 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Molly Manion | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Paloma Garcia | 29 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Se'Lah Reddick | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Joi Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter