Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | -2.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +10 (65-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Iona Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ward * | 38 | 3-19 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Ale Civera * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -9.0 |
| Isabellah Middleton * | 35 | 9-25 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | -6.8 |
| Ella Fajardo * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Mya Zaccagnini * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Adrianna Gonzalez | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Claudia Fiel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Yannie Chan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.2 |
| Johanna Flores | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Kennerly * | 33 | 11-18 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | +6.1 |
| Jaedyn Jamison * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 18 | +9.0 |
| Wesleigh Ferguson * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Berlynn Carlson * | 25 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Giana Hoddinott * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Alana Powell | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Erin Edmonds | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Nyodie Guerard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Mikaela Parris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Teodora Ivanovic | 6 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -2.6 |
| Kayla Lindsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
* = starter