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Furman Paladins

Also known as: Furman Paladins
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

67.6
PPG
61.3
Opp
+6.4
Margin
40.8%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
63.1%
FT%
39.7
RPG
13.1
APG
17.9
TO
73.1
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#252
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 904 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 936 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 988 (#197) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -7.9 (#255) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -6.3 (#241) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.377 (#217) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.7 More โ†’ 0.377 (#217) NetEff -3.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.1 More โ†’ 0.237 (#244) AdjNet -10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.3 More โ†’ 0.231 (#246) AdjNet -10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 67.7 More โ†’ 0.343 (#252) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 63.0 More โ†’ 0.470 (#197) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 63.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.354 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.378 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 27 More โ†’ 962 (#204) RD 151 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs North Greenville Trailblazers W 85 - 27
2025-11-06 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 45 - 91
2025-11-10 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 48 - 96
2025-11-13 vs Georgia State Panthers W 90 - 89
2025-11-16 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 61 - 68
2025-11-19 @ Radford Highlanders L 50 - 68
2025-11-23 vs Clemson Tigers L 58 - 76
2025-11-29 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 74 - 67
2025-12-03 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 74 - 56
2025-12-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 56 - 72
2025-12-14 vs Mars Hill Mountain Lions W 110 - 36
2025-12-19 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 66 - 53
2025-12-28 @ Florida Gators L 66 - 82
2025-12-30 vs Brevard Tornados W 110 - 54
2026-01-03 vs Bob Jones Bruins W 106 - 21
2026-01-08 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 72 - 70
2026-01-10 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 44 - 61
2026-01-15 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 69 - 56
2026-01-17 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 69 - 38
2026-01-22 @ Mercer Bears W 60 - 49
2026-01-24 @ Samford Bulldogs W 70 - 62
2026-01-30 @ Wofford Terriers W 65 - 64
2026-02-05 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 54 - 62
2026-02-07 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 55 - 58
2026-02-12 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 60 - 51
2026-02-14 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 63 - 61
2026-02-19 vs Samford Bulldogs L 59 - 68
2026-02-21 vs Mercer Bears L 63 - 80
2026-02-28 vs Wofford Terriers W 64 - 42
2026-03-05 vs Mercer Bears W 66 - 45
2026-03-06 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 65 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Clare Coyle Clare Coyle F 31 31.6 14.8 9.1 1.6 2.0 1.4 2.2 11.3 15.4 193 26 7.4 10.1 54.7 0.0 53.6 5.7 55.6 54.7
Alyssa Ervin Alyssa Ervin G 31 28.0 13.8 3.1 1.3 1.6 0.7 1.9 11.2 7.5 165 26 6.3 9.7 40.9 35.1 72.8 1.63 53.2 48.6
Raina McGowens Raina McGowens G 31 29.4 9.1 5.0 1.8 1.8 0.5 2.7 8.6 6.8 142 26 5.5 8.2 32.2 20.5 66.2 -1.67 42.1 33.7
Chantelle Stuart Chantelle Stuart G 27 25.3 7.3 3.5 4.5 1.5 0.2 3.5 7.9 5.6 41 23 1.8 3.1 33.0 27.1 70.5 -2.12 41.0 36.1
Lauren Bailey Lauren Bailey G 26 25.0 6.2 2.7 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.6 5.7 3.5 98 22 4.5 8.0 35.8 37.3 60.0 -1.6 53.1 52.7
Sophia Pearl Sophia Pearl G 31 19.5 5.5 1.9 2.2 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.3 3.3 77 26 3.0 6.4 37.8 32.4 75.0 -3.72 48.0 44.8
Kyraha Parnell Kyraha Parnell F 23 18.7 4.5 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.2 4.5 5.2 24 19 1.3 3.0 38.5 29.4 61.5 -1.39 46.9 45.7
Brooklyn King Brooklyn King G 22 17.2 3.9 3.8 0.5 1.3 0.7 1.6 4.4 4.1 80 19 4.2 10.1 34.4 30.0 50.0 0.57 40.6 39.1
Channing Warren Channing Warren F 14 12.4 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.9 2.6 3.3 -49 12 -4.1 -15.3 59.5 0.0 72.7 -4.24 62.1 59.5
Samaria Taylor Samaria Taylor G 27 10.4 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.9 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.1 23 24 1.0 3.5 37.0 20.0 50.0 -4.6 41.6 38.3
Tyriana Berry Tyriana Berry F 24 7.5 2.5 2.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.1 2.7 28 19 1.5 8.3 51.0 0 36.8 -0.8 49.7 51.0
Hilary Englert Hilary Englert G 13 6.3 1.5 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.2 63 11 5.7 32.0 50.0 75.0 0 0.53 59.4 59.4
Hanna Hansson Hanna Hansson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Asa Snyder Asa Snyder G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1874 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Coyle36% Coyle33% McGowens30% Coyle37% Ervin32% Bailey37% Ervin50% Bailey31% Ervin30% Ervin38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Coyle29% Coyle22% McGowens23% Stuart22% Ervin32% Ervin32% Ervin25% Bailey29% Ervin29% Ervin33%
Misses: who misses most here

Clare CoyleAlyssa ErvinRaina McGowensLauren BaileyChantelle Stuart

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 280-483 58.0 560 Clare Coyle 36% (200 pts) Raina McGowens 11% (64 pts) Clare Coyle 29% (58 misses) Raina McGowens 19% (39 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 211-524 40.3 422 Clare Coyle 33% (140 pts) Alyssa Ervin 17% (70 pts) Clare Coyle 22% (68 misses) Raina McGowens 22% (68 misses)
Mid-range left 37-112 33.0 74 Raina McGowens 30% (22 pts) Alyssa Ervin 27% (20 pts) Raina McGowens 23% (17 misses) Alyssa Ervin 20% (15 misses)
Mid-range center 19-56 33.9 38 Clare Coyle 37% (14 pts) Alyssa Ervin 16% (6 pts) Chantelle Stuart 22% (8 misses) Clare Coyle 19% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 41-155 26.5 82 Alyssa Ervin 32% (26 pts) Clare Coyle 20% (16 pts) Alyssa Ervin 32% (36 misses) Chantelle Stuart 17% (19 misses)
Left corner 3 19-50 38.0 57 Lauren Bailey 37% (21 pts) Alyssa Ervin 26% (15 pts) Alyssa Ervin 32% (10 misses) Raina McGowens 16% (5 misses)
Right corner 3 16-40 40.0 48 Alyssa Ervin 50% (24 pts) Lauren Bailey 19% (9 pts) Alyssa Ervin 25% (6 misses) Lauren Bailey 21% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 51-186 27.4 153 Lauren Bailey 31% (48 pts) Alyssa Ervin 16% (24 pts) Lauren Bailey 29% (39 misses) Alyssa Ervin 19% (26 misses)
Above-break 3 center 27-89 30.3 81 Alyssa Ervin 30% (24 pts) Sophia Pearl 26% (21 pts) Alyssa Ervin 29% (18 misses) Lauren Bailey 16% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 right 63-179 35.2 189 Alyssa Ervin 38% (72 pts) Lauren Bailey 30% (57 pts) Alyssa Ervin 33% (38 misses) Lauren Bailey 22% (26 misses)