Furman Paladins
2026 Team Stats (31 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 904 (#228) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 936 (#222) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 988 (#197) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.9 (#255) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -6.3 (#241) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.377 (#217) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.377 (#217) | NetEff -3.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.237 (#244) | AdjNet -10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.231 (#246) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.343 (#252) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.470 (#197) | AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.354 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.378 (#229) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 962 (#204) | RD 151 | GP 27 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clare Coyle
|
F | 31 | 31.6 | 14.8 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 11.3 | 15.4 | 193 | 26 | 7.4 | 10.1 | 54.7 | 0.0 | 53.6 | 5.7 | 55.6 | 54.7 |
Alyssa Ervin
|
G | 31 | 28.0 | 13.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 11.2 | 7.5 | 165 | 26 | 6.3 | 9.7 | 40.9 | 35.1 | 72.8 | 1.63 | 53.2 | 48.6 |
Raina McGowens
|
G | 31 | 29.4 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 142 | 26 | 5.5 | 8.2 | 32.2 | 20.5 | 66.2 | -1.67 | 42.1 | 33.7 |
Chantelle Stuart
|
G | 27 | 25.3 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 41 | 23 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 33.0 | 27.1 | 70.5 | -2.12 | 41.0 | 36.1 |
Lauren Bailey
|
G | 26 | 25.0 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 98 | 22 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 35.8 | 37.3 | 60.0 | -1.6 | 53.1 | 52.7 |
Sophia Pearl
|
G | 31 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 77 | 26 | 3.0 | 6.4 | 37.8 | 32.4 | 75.0 | -3.72 | 48.0 | 44.8 |
Kyraha Parnell
|
F | 23 | 18.7 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 24 | 19 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 38.5 | 29.4 | 61.5 | -1.39 | 46.9 | 45.7 |
Brooklyn King
|
G | 22 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 80 | 19 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 34.4 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0.57 | 40.6 | 39.1 |
Channing Warren
|
F | 14 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | -49 | 12 | -4.1 | -15.3 | 59.5 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -4.24 | 62.1 | 59.5 |
Samaria Taylor
|
G | 27 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 23 | 24 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -4.6 | 41.6 | 38.3 |
Tyriana Berry
|
F | 24 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 28 | 19 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 51.0 | 0 | 36.8 | -0.8 | 49.7 | 51.0 |
Hilary Englert
|
G | 13 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 63 | 11 | 5.7 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.53 | 59.4 | 59.4 |
Hanna Hansson
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Asa Snyder
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1874 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Clare CoyleAlyssa ErvinRaina McGowensLauren BaileyChantelle Stuart
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 280-483 | 58.0 | 560 | Clare Coyle 36% (200 pts) | Raina McGowens 11% (64 pts) | Clare Coyle 29% (58 misses) | Raina McGowens 19% (39 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 211-524 | 40.3 | 422 | Clare Coyle 33% (140 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 17% (70 pts) | Clare Coyle 22% (68 misses) | Raina McGowens 22% (68 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 37-112 | 33.0 | 74 | Raina McGowens 30% (22 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 27% (20 pts) | Raina McGowens 23% (17 misses) | Alyssa Ervin 20% (15 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 19-56 | 33.9 | 38 | Clare Coyle 37% (14 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 16% (6 pts) | Chantelle Stuart 22% (8 misses) | Clare Coyle 19% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 41-155 | 26.5 | 82 | Alyssa Ervin 32% (26 pts) | Clare Coyle 20% (16 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 32% (36 misses) | Chantelle Stuart 17% (19 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 19-50 | 38.0 | 57 | Lauren Bailey 37% (21 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 26% (15 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 32% (10 misses) | Raina McGowens 16% (5 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 16-40 | 40.0 | 48 | Alyssa Ervin 50% (24 pts) | Lauren Bailey 19% (9 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 25% (6 misses) | Lauren Bailey 21% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 51-186 | 27.4 | 153 | Lauren Bailey 31% (48 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 16% (24 pts) | Lauren Bailey 29% (39 misses) | Alyssa Ervin 19% (26 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 27-89 | 30.3 | 81 | Alyssa Ervin 30% (24 pts) | Sophia Pearl 26% (21 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 29% (18 misses) | Lauren Bailey 16% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 63-179 | 35.2 | 189 | Alyssa Ervin 38% (72 pts) | Lauren Bailey 30% (57 pts) | Alyssa Ervin 33% (38 misses) | Lauren Bailey 22% (26 misses) |