🐻⬇️🏀

Florida State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History
Coach: Leonard Hamilton

2021 Team Stats (18 games)

77.1
PPG
69.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
46.7%
FG%
37.1%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
37.6
RPG
14.2
APG
14.8
TO
82.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1166 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1350 (#81) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +31.3 (#83) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.693 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.734 (#11) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.5 More → 0.728 (#31) AdjNet +8.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.730 (#31) AdjNet +8.6

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-27 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs - Preview
2020-12-02 vs North Florida Ospreys W 86 - 58
2020-12-12 vs Florida Gators W 83 - 71
2020-12-15 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 74 - 61
2020-12-19 vs UCF Knights L 74 - 86
2020-12-21 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 72 - 59
2020-12-29 @ Clemson Tigers L 67 - 77
2021-01-02 vs Duke Blue Devils - Preview
2021-01-09 @ Pittsburgh Panthers - Preview
2021-01-23 vs Clemson Tigers W 80 - 61
2021-01-27 vs Miami Hurricanes W 81 - 59
2021-01-30 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 65 - 76
2021-02-02 @ Boston College Eagles - Preview
2021-02-09 @ Virginia Tech Hokies - Preview
2021-02-13 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 92 - 85
2021-02-15 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 81 - 60
2021-02-20 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 72
2021-02-24 @ Miami Hurricanes W 88 - 71
2021-02-27 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 78
2021-03-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 93 - 64
2021-03-06 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 73 - 83
2021-03-11 vs Duke Blue Devils - Preview
2021-03-12 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 69 - 66
2021-03-13 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 75 - 80
2021-03-20 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 64 - 54
2021-03-22 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 71 - 53
2021-03-28 @ Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 76

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
MJ Walker MJ Walker - 20 27.2 11.6 2.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 2.4 8.9 6.1 21 2.3 10.4 42.7 40.7 77.6 0.29 57.0 52.5
R. Gray R. Gray F 21 25.0 11.5 6.5 1.9 1.2 0.8 2.3 8.2 11.3 - - - 50.9 23.1 76.9 - 58.4 52.6
A. Polite A. Polite G 18 25.1 10.7 4.5 1.8 1.6 0.4 1.3 7.6 10.2 - - - 50.7 43.5 69.4 - 63.6 61.8
S. Barnes S. Barnes - 21 24.0 10.4 4.0 4.3 1.4 0.4 2.7 8.0 9.7 -8 -1.0 -3.6 50.9 24.2 62.3 0.01 55.7 53.3
B. Koprivica B. Koprivica C 20 18.4 9.2 5.7 0.7 0.2 1.4 1.4 5.9 9.8 - - - 61.9 100.0 67.9 - 64.8 62.3
M. Osborne M. Osborne F 20 18.2 5.8 4.5 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.8 4.5 6.1 - - - 42.2 37.2 79.3 - 56.0 51.1
S. Calhoun S. Calhoun - 21 13.6 5.6 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.7 4.9 2.7 - - - 42.2 37.3 85.7 - 54.1 51.5
W. Wilkes W. Wilkes G 21 13.6 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.5 3.5 3.1 - - - 40.5 37.5 66.7 - 55.1 54.7
R. Evans R. Evans G 20 17.6 3.9 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.3 1.4 3.5 2.7 - - - 29.6 21.1 81.6 - 43.9 32.4
N. Jack N. Jack G 16 7.4 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.8 1.1 - - - 35.6 34.2 62.5 - 51.5 50.0
T. Ngom T. Ngom C 19 6.2 2.4 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.5 - - - 51.7 0.0 88.2 - 61.7 51.7
Q. Ballard Q. Ballard C 15 3.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.3 -19 -1.5 -1.9 69.2 0 40.0 0.03 65.8 69.2
H. Prieto H. Prieto F 5 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.2 - - - 100.0 100.0 0.0 - 86.8 125.0
J. Lindner J. Lindner G 7 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.6 - - - 30.0 0.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
W. Miles W. Miles G 7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.0 - - - 28.6 0 0 - 28.6 28.6
T. Light T. Light G 8 1.9 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG