Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 39 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Mann | 29 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| N. Locke | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Appleby | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| C. Castleton | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| O. Payne | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| O. Osifo | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Duruji | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Q. Glover | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Johnson | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Lane | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.J. Walker | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12-12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Barnes | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Polite | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Gray | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Osborne | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Koprivica | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Ngom | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Jack | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter