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2021-03-12

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 70.5% 29.5% -4.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 7.1% 92.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walton 28 4-10 3-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 11 7 -
C. Love 26 4-14 3-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 4 13 0 -
G. Brooks * 27 1-2 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 1 5 11 -
A. Bacot * 26 5-10 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 2 0 12 13 -
L. Black * 24 3-9 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 7 4 -
RJ Davis 24 2-10 0-3 3-3 1 2 1 0 2 7 -1 -
D. Sharpe 17 2-6 0-0 1-5 6 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
A. Harris 14 2-6 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
W. Kessler 10 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Platek 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Koprivica * 28 7-11 0-0 3-5 11 2 0 4 2 17 21 -
M.J. Walker * 28 3-8 0-1 3-5 1 2 0 0 6 9 -2 -
R. Gray * 27 2-8 0-2 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Polite * 24 2-7 1-3 0-1 7 0 2 0 4 5 3 -
R. Evans * 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 -
S. Barnes 25 4-7 0-1 3-3 5 4 2 0 3 11 12 -
S. Calhoun 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 2 0 7 6 -
M. Osborne 20 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
T. Ngom 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
W. Wilkes 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Jack 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Ballard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter