Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Huff | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Hauser | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Morsell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McKoy | 6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Clark * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Murphy III * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Woldetensae | 12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Abdur-Rahim | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. McCorkle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.J. Walker * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| R. Gray * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Osborne * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Evans * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Wilkes * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Barnes | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Polite | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Koprivica | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Ngom | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Jack | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Light | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Miles | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lindner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter