Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Doumbia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Adams * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| B. Mahan * | 33 | 10-13 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| D. Fuller Jr. * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 30 | 6-12 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Mobley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Perry | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Diggs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.J. Walker * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| A. Polite * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Barnes * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Gray * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| B. Koprivica * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Evans | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Osborne | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Calhoun | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Ngom | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Prieto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter