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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2020 Team Stats (22 games)

81.8
PPG
68.8
Opp
+14.2
Margin
47.4%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
38.9
RPG
15.2
APG
13.0
TO
85.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1682 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1589 (#5) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +44.2 (#3) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.884 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.4 More → 0.839 (#6) NetEff +14.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.813 (#16) AdjNet +12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.817 (#16) AdjNet +12.9

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-08 vs Colorado State Rams W 89 - 55
2019-11-12 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 105 - 54
2019-11-26 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 83 - 85
2019-11-29 vs Winthrop Eagles W 83 - 70
2019-12-06 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 63
2019-12-28 vs Brown Bears W 75 - 50
2019-12-31 vs Boston College Eagles W 88 - 49
2020-01-04 @ Miami Hurricanes W 95 - 62
2020-01-08 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 64
2020-01-11 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 90 - 59
2020-01-14 @ Clemson Tigers L 72 - 79
2020-01-18 vs Louisville Cardinals L 73 - 79
2020-01-21 vs Miami Hurricanes W 89 - 59
2020-01-28 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 79 - 67
2020-02-01 @ Syracuse Orange W 97 - 88
2020-02-04 @ Boston College Eagles W 63 - 55
2020-02-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 98 - 96
2020-02-10 vs Florida State Seminoles W 70 - 65
2020-02-15 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 94 - 60
2020-02-19 @ NC State Wolfpack L 66 - 88
2020-02-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 88 - 64
2020-02-25 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 101 - 113
2020-02-29 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 50 - 52
2020-03-02 vs NC State Wolfpack W 88 - 69
2020-03-07 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 89 - 76
2020-03-12 vs NC State Wolfpack - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Vernon Carey Jr. Vernon Carey Jr. - 25 24.6 17.0 8.4 1.1 0.7 1.4 2.1 10.0 16.5 - - - 56.6 25.0 67.5 - 66.1 57.4
Tre Jones Tre Jones - 24 35.0 16.0 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.2 2.5 12.3 13.6 22 1.8 2.5 42.7 38.0 76.2 0.18 56.3 47.8
Cassius Stanley Cassius Stanley - 24 27.8 12.8 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.8 1.8 9.0 9.3 - - - 45.8 32.4 74.3 - 62.0 51.2
M. Hurt M. Hurt F 25 20.8 10.2 3.8 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 6.4 9.1 - - - 49.7 40.0 75.0 - 70.3 59.6
Wendell Moore Jr. Wendell Moore Jr. - 19 25.4 7.9 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.3 2.4 5.2 7.5 110 7.9 15.0 41.4 15.4 85.5 1.38 61.3 42.4
A. O'Connell A. O'Connell - 23 13.0 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.8 4.3 4.4 - - - 43.4 29.8 57.1 - 62.8 50.5
J. Goldwire J. Goldwire G 25 26.2 5.3 2.8 2.4 1.7 0.2 1.1 3.9 7.4 - - - 50.0 38.5 64.7 - 63.0 57.7
J. Baker J. Baker - 22 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.6 3.8 2.2 -44 -4.0 -5.7 34.5 32.7 75.0 -0.15 50.7 44.0
J. Robinson J. Robinson F 12 7.7 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.4 1.2 0.2 2.3 4.8 9 1.0 2.3 57.1 50.0 50.0 0.04 72.7 73.2
J. DeLaurier J. DeLaurier F 25 12.9 3.4 3.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.7 1.8 6.1 - - - 63.6 25.0 75.0 - 83.3 64.8
J. White J. White - 24 13.7 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 2.3 4.3 27 3.9 9.8 40.0 35.3 71.4 0.38 58.0 50.9
M. Buckmire M. Buckmire G 7 2.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG