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2020-03-12

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils Spread
Elo 10.7% (#70) 89.3% (#8) -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% (#31) 72.4% (#5) -
Margin 9.6% (#47) 90.4% (#3) Duke Bl... -12.3
Pythagorean 33.4% (#42) 66.6% (#4) -
Efficiency 4.0% (#44) 96.0% (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% (#48) 83.4% (#16) -
Log Adjusted 16.4% (#48) 83.6% (#16) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils
Games 8 22
PPG 72.9 81.8
FG% 44.2% 47.4%
3PT% 32.5% 33.2%
FT% 71.2% 72.3%
RPG 34.8 38.9
APG 12.4 15.2
SPG 8.4 8.3
BPG 3.5 6.0
TOPG 11.0 13.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils
Adj. Off Eff 101.7 106.4
Adj. Def Eff 98.3 93.6
Adj. Net Eff 3.3 12.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

NC State Wolfpack Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
M. Johnson 14.1 4.6 7.3 2.4 0.4 35.4
C.J. Bryce 11.6 6.6 1.6 1.3 0.1 33.6
D. Daniels 13.8 6.1 1.5 1.4 0.0 31.0
DJ Funderburk 13.4 6.3 0.0 1.0 1.1 28.6
J. Hellems 7.9 3.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 26.4

Duke Blue Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
T. Jones 16.0 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.3 35.0
C. Stanley 12.8 4.8 1.1 0.6 0.8 27.8
J. Goldwire 5.3 2.8 2.4 1.7 0.2 26.2
W. Moore Jr. 7.9 4.2 1.8 0.9 0.3 25.4
V. Carey Jr. 17.0 8.4 1.1 0.7 1.4 24.6