Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Daniels * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Bryce * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| DJ Funderburk * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Bates * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hellems | 29 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Beverly | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Dixon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Andree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 40 | 4-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Stanley * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| V. Carey Jr. * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| J. DeLaurier * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Baker * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 38 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Robinson | 14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Hurt | 12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter