Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Champagnie * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Toney * | 40 | 11-19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 13 | - |
| X. Johnson * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. McGowens * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Hamilton * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Coulibaly | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Murphy | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Brown | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 40 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Goldwire * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| V. Carey Jr. * | 35 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| C. Stanley * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Hurt * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. White | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Baker | 9 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter